NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	5.9 [615]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +18.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.0 [256]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -12.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	19	71%	0.26	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.03
Walt Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	75%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	14	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.06	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	24	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.02	7	78%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	16	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	0.07	17	55%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	25.6	15.8	29.1	1.7	32.0	127.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.9%

HOU +6.4%

POR -3.5%

POR -9.9%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.5	116.0	109.6	100.9
season	16.3	15.8		104.6	103.9
opponent	15.8	14.9		100.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.3	14.2	15.2	18.0	15.2
POR	17.2	14.6	16.8	13.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Rogers	54	53	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	15.3	15.0	0.30	14.4	16.8	-2.41
Walt Williams	51	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	1	4	15.7	14.6	1.13	13.8	17.4	-3.60
Cuttino Mobley	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	15.5	13.5	2.01	15.8	14.1	1.69
Steve Francis	87	87	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	0	6	15.1	15.4	-0.28	15.9	10.7	5.14
Moochie Norris	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	0	6	15.7	14.7	0.95	13.7	17.1	-3.46
Shandon Anderson	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	5	-4	14.5	17.3	-2.80	15.8	14.3	1.50
Matt Bullard	43	43	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	5	-4	14.6	15.7	-1.13	17.4	13.8	3.60
Kelvin Cato	40	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	6	-6	15.0	15.3	-0.30	16.8	14.4	2.41

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-2	-2	18.6	14.7	3.96	12.8	15.7	-2.96
Dale Davis	58	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-11	16	14.8	16.5	-1.67	16.3	13.3	3.02
Rod Strickland	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	1	-8	15.6	15.4	0.19	15.4	15.1	0.27
Scottie Pippen	79	78	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-6	6	15.3	16.2	-0.87	15.2	15.0	0.21
Steven Smith	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-3	0	15.6	15.0	0.55	14.4	17.4	-3.00
Damon Stoudamire	73	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-7	8	15.4	15.6	-0.19	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Rasheed Wallace	82	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	15.6	14.2	1.40	15.2	15.0	0.19
Greg Anthony	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	1	-8	15.1	15.8	-0.68	16.2	14.4	1.77
Stacey Augmon	26	27	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	7	-20	14.7	15.8	-1.07	14.5	15.4	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.05,0	95.3%
MIA 97, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIA 91, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.1,0	94.7%