NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	8.5 [153]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +9.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	2.6 [526]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): -34.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.02	5	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Vitaly Potapenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.02
Greg Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Mitchell Butler	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	1	0%	-0.08	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.06
Cedric Henderson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	4	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.02	9	55%	-0.01	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Tom Chambers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	13	51%	-0.01	5	-0.15	11	91%	0.11
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.13	0.03	9	77%	0.06	7	-0.27	4	50%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.33	-0.33	-0.13	-0.20	-0.01	18	34%	-0.22	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.26	-0.01	4	25%	-0.08	2	-0.27	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	32.1	15.7	30.4	2.4	34.5	141.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +43.8%

PHI -13.6%

PHI -0.4%

CLE +18.4%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.3	15.6	92.2	86.4	102.5
season	15.4	15.4		99.4	99.7
opponent	15.5	16.0		102.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.7	15.8	11.9	13.6	14.6
PHI	13.7	11.9	15.3	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	63	65	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.22	16	-10	26	14.5	14.8	-0.33	13.7	12.8	0.87
Wesley Person	94	92	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	1	4	14.6	14.8	-0.17	13.0	15.9	-2.88
Shawn Kemp	60	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-4	14	14.1	15.3	-1.17	13.0	13.8	-0.81
Derek Anderson	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	2	2	14.2	15.6	-1.37	14.1	11.6	2.42
Brevin Knight	39	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	-1	8	15.5	14.1	1.48	12.8	13.6	-0.79
Danny Ferry	27	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	8	-10	13.6	15.0	-1.39	15.3	12.6	2.74
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	7	-8	15.8	13.2	2.63	13.3	13.3	-0.01
Shawnelle Scott	9	9	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	0	6	12.7	14.8	-2.14	13.9	13.3	0.60
Vitaly Potapenko	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.20	-3	9	-12	15.6	13.7	1.95	12.9	13.8	-0.92
Mitchell Butler	33	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	7	-8	12.3	15.7	-3.37	12.4	13.8	-1.40
Greg Graham	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	17	-28	17.7	14.2	3.45	12.2	13.5	-1.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.20	9	-15	24	14.7	12.7	2.00	15.9	14.0	1.91
Mark Davis	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-10	14	15.2	13.1	2.07	15.0	14.6	0.43
Tom Chambers	25	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-4	2	11.0	14.1	-3.09	13.3	15.0	-1.64
Eric Montross	42	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-1	-4	13.7	13.1	0.59	16.0	13.6	2.41
Doug Overton	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	0	-6	13.5	13.3	0.26	12.6	15.6	-2.97
Tim Thomas	28	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	4	-14	14.3	13.0	1.30	11.9	15.7	-3.84
Jim Jackson	91	90	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-8	10	13.1	15.1	-1.97	15.0	11.8	3.26
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-2	-2	13.5	13.1	0.39	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Allen Iverson	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	13.3	13.5	-0.26	15.4	13.0	2.35
Jerry Stackhouse	77	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	12.8	15.1	-2.32	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Terry Cummings	52	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	13.5	13.2	0.28	14.9	14.4	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.32,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.2,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.14,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	92.2%
DET 110, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.04,0.09,0.29,0	92.1%
SAS 99, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0	92.1%