NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	6.5 [512]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +19.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies	83		Comeback	2.3 [783]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -23.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.07	0.13	-0.00	16	62%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	13	67%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	8	55%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Latrell Sprewell	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	19	57%	0.09	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.05	-0.06	23	58%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.09	0.03	12	78%	0.24	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	6	46%	-0.01	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	10	37%	-0.05	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	11	46%	-0.06	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	25.5	15.4	23.6	2.3	37.6	129.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -5.9%

NYK +11.5%

VAN -5.4%

NYK +37.5%

NYK +12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	VAN	NBA	NYK	VAN	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.2	101.1	95.4	101.7
season	16.1	15.9		100.0	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.8		105.9	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.0	15.7	14.9	16.2	16.0
VAN	14.9	19.4	18.5	15.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	50	49	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.22	13	-7	20	16.3	15.5	0.81	17.7	15.9	1.79
Allan Houston	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.25	11	-5	16	15.8	16.9	-1.13	17.4	14.8	2.60
Latrell Sprewell	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	1	4	15.8	16.9	-1.03	16.7	18.3	-1.62
Patrick Ewing	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	5	-4	15.4	17.1	-1.71	16.5	17.8	-1.29
Charlie Ward	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	0	6	15.4	16.6	-1.21	16.6	17.4	-0.78
Chris Childs	42	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	6	-6	16.3	15.7	0.52	17.2	16.7	0.50
Kurt Thomas	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	5	-4	17.2	15.2	1.99	17.5	16.5	1.02
Larry Johnson	62	59	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	13	-20	16.3	15.3	0.91	16.2	18.5	-2.37

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	7	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.05	4	-10	14	15.4	17.1	-1.63	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Dennis Scott	6	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	18.8	16.8	2.04	10.3	16.5	-6.20
Felipe Lopez	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	0	-6	19.0	16.0	3.00	15.1	16.4	-1.21
Antoine Carr	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	17.8	16.7	1.10	16.1	16.0	0.08
Milt Palacio	14	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	18.0	16.7	1.27	14.8	16.2	-1.43
Mike Bibby	73	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-5	4	16.7	18.0	-1.27	16.2	14.8	1.43
Bryant Reeves	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-3	0	16.7	17.8	-1.10	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-5	4	16.8	17.8	-1.02	16.1	15.1	1.07
Othella Harrington	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	16.7	18.7	-2.00	16.5	11.6	4.94
Michael Dickerson	69	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	4	-14	16.5	18.6	-2.12	16.2	15.2	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.23,0.26,0	93.3%
IND 109, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.04,0	93.2%
IND 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.43,0.27,0	92.9%