NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	5.8 [617]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +17.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	4.0 [654]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -17.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	77%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Dee Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	6	59%	-0.02	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.07
Travis Knight	-0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.04	0.03	9	28%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.21	-0.02	-0.05	17	47%	0.02	8	-0.20	11	45%	-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	19	76%	0.33	6	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Breaux	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Nordgaard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	12	62%	0.15	6	-0.15	8	87%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	15	49%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	25.7	15.3	24.7	2.4	34.3	127.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.4%

MIL +5.3%

BOS -11.5%

MIL +13.7%

BOS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.6	100.0	109.4	102.5
season	15.1	16.0		100.2	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	13.7	15.7	14.4	15.2
MIL	13.6	14.5	17.0	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	24	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-13	17	14.6	15.4	-0.78	13.4	15.3	-1.88
Pervis Ellison	28	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-11	13	12.7	16.2	-3.41	15.2	14.7	0.54
Andrew DeClercq	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-8	7	12.7	15.9	-3.22	12.6	15.5	-2.93
Tyus Edney	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-5	1	13.6	17.4	-3.83	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Walter McCarty	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	16.4	13.8	2.53	16.6	12.8	3.74
Chauncey Billups	42	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	17.2	13.6	3.56	15.0	14.7	0.33
Ron Mercer	75	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.7	16.7	-1.92	15.1	14.0	1.05
Antoine Walker	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.8	12.6	3.16	15.0	14.2	0.78
Dee Brown	42	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	3	-15	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Travis Knight	64	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	1	-11	16.5	12.6	3.91	15.0	14.5	0.53

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	42	42	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	0	9	14.0	15.5	-1.52	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Armen Gilliam	44	45	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-2	13	14.2	15.4	-1.20	14.6	15.7	-1.07
Ray Allen	89	89	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	14.9	13.4	1.52	15.5	10.9	4.65
Terrell Brandon	79	79	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-2	13	15.0	13.9	1.16	15.8	12.4	3.42
Glenn Robinson	80	80	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	15.5	11.4	4.08	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Ervin Johnson	56	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	0	9	15.3	14.1	1.21	17.1	12.6	4.55
Elliot Perry	16	16	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	9	-9	14.7	14.9	-0.18	12.2	15.8	-3.58
Tyrone Hill	56	56	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	11	-13	15.3	14.1	1.17	15.3	15.0	0.29
Jeff Nordgaard	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	6.0	15.1	-9.12	10.3	15.3	-4.99
Tim Breaux	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	1.0	15.0	-13.98	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Jamie Feick	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	15	-21	12.8	15.2	-2.40	11.4	15.8	-4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 72, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DAL 104, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.3%
VAN 102, LAL 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.96,1,1,1	92.2%