NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	102		Excitement	6.6 [287]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +11.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	2.8 [594]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -27.2%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	16	61%	0.09	2	-0.03	14	57%	-0.09
Felipe Lopez	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.03	0.06	14	77%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	5	17%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.19	-0.10	-0.02	15	42%	-0.09	6	-0.18	10	90%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	12	63%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	9	58%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	25	59%	0.15	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.05
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	68%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	5.0	2.0	30.0	17.5	27.3	2.4	38.7	123.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.7%

LAL +14.3%

VAN -14.4%

LAL +18.9%

VAN -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAL	NBA	VAN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.0	15.8	106.2	127.2	99.6
season	16.4	14.9		95.7	104.7
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.9	15.8	20.0	17.5	16.6
LAL	13.2	14.9	15.1	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-13	11	15.8	16.7	-0.89	12.8	14.1	-1.34
Felipe Lopez	66	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.15	-9	-6	-3	17.3	15.1	2.12	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Mike Bibby	69	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	-7	-1	17.1	15.2	1.96	14.2	13.3	0.92
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	80	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-8	1	16.3	17.9	-1.54	14.2	12.9	1.34
Michael Smith	69	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-6	-3	17.5	14.4	3.09	13.8	14.4	-0.64
DeJuan Wheat	27	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-8	1	15.2	17.1	-1.96	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Terry Dehere	32	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-9	3	14.3	17.7	-3.42	14.5	13.7	0.75
Tony Massenburg	84	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	3	-21	16.7	16.2	0.49	13.8	15.5	-1.70
J.R. Henderson	31	31	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	-3	-9	16.5	16.6	-0.11	14.3	13.9	0.41

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	56	55	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.09	24	-9	33	14.3	13.5	0.80	16.2	17.2	-1.01
Robert Horry	67	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-4	23	14.1	13.8	0.31	17.1	15.3	1.84
Ruben Patterson	35	38	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	2	11	14.3	13.8	0.57	15.1	17.6	-2.51
Shaquille O'Neal	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-2	19	13.7	15.0	-1.29	16.3	17.4	-1.05
Glen Rice	73	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	4	7	13.3	16.6	-3.33	17.5	12.8	4.74
Travis Knight	18	20	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	13	-11	15.1	13.7	1.33	11.9	17.8	-5.87
Kobe Bryant	69	71	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	12	-9	14.3	13.2	1.09	16.8	15.9	0.97
J.R. Reid	34	38	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	20	-25	14.4	13.7	0.67	17.7	15.9	1.80
Derek Fisher	36	41	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.03	-9	24	-33	13.5	14.3	-0.80	17.2	16.2	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 114, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	94.0%
DET 75, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
SAC 90, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.95,1,1,0.97,1	92.9%