inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 72 Excitement5.0 [805] MVPBrandon Roy (POR): +16.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 97 Comeback4.4 [506] LVPLou Williams (PHI): -11.6%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Smith0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.01475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Andre Miller-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.02-0.041944%0.073-0.071100%0.00
Rodney Carney-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.04-0.001150%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Thaddeus Young-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.03333%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Samuel Dalembert-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01540%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.00-0.040.031953%0.054-0.12786%0.01
Lou Williams-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.03-0.051425%-0.072-0.0500%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.05-0.001759%0.191-0.033100%0.02
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.090.011246%0.0900.002100%0.01
Steve Blake0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.01779%0.111-0.0300%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.020.05667%0.0400.00683%0.03
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03850%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.030.00650%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Joel Przybilla0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0110%-0.031-0.0320%-0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00844%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.00-0.030.05853%-0.081-0.003100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.327.515.528.41.627.2124.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +24.6%
POR +14.4%
PHI -2.9%
POR +11.3%
POR +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIPORNBAPHIPORNBA
this game16.117.815.483.7115.5105.7
season15.216.7104.0105.5
opponent15.416.2106.1104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI17.817.414.814.716.1
POR18.218.616.618.017.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Evans39380.24-0.740.990.047-323917.514.92.5318.817.01.72
Kevin Ollie1011-0.03-0.470.440.15-6-191310.516.8-6.3217.717.8-0.11
Andre Iguodala6968-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-15516.514.42.0818.016.91.09
Andre Miller6866-0.26-0.24-0.010.18-15-10-516.913.03.9018.415.82.60
Jason Smith3535-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-14314.417.3-2.8815.919.2-3.27
Lou Williams5553-0.38-0.12-0.270.14-18-7-1115.417.3-1.8917.418.6-1.20
Samuel Dalembert6261-0.41-0.09-0.330.17-20-5-1516.714.52.1418.316.61.73
Thaddeus Young3835-0.540.04-0.590.10-22-3-1914.717.2-2.4617.118.3-1.21
Rodney Carney5453-0.650.15-0.810.23-305-3516.615.11.5217.817.80.02

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Channing Frye51520.81-0.311.12-0.2536-114716.919.2-2.3415.417.2-1.81
Jarrett Jack44450.64-0.140.79-0.2430-53517.318.4-1.0615.416.8-1.38
Brandon Roy67650.500.000.50-0.122141718.116.61.4717.013.33.70
James Jones41440.460.040.43-0.182231918.517.21.2515.117.1-2.03
Travis Outlaw44440.390.110.28-0.141871117.118.6-1.4415.416.8-1.47
Martell Webster42420.020.48-0.45-0.06322-1917.618.0-0.4017.115.12.03
Josh McRoberts550.000.50-0.50-0.09322-1913.818.1-4.287.216.6-9.43
Sergio Rodriguez1315-0.020.52-0.53-0.10322-1917.917.80.1213.816.6-2.76
LaMarcus Aldridge4446-0.080.58-0.66-0.08025-2518.217.40.8016.815.21.60
Steve Blake4547-0.120.62-0.730.00-429-3317.418.3-0.8116.215.90.24
Joel Przybilla2930-0.120.62-0.74-0.00-429-3319.916.73.1717.215.51.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 96, MIL 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.97,1,1,194.5%
CLE 102, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1,193.0%
WAS 106, MIA 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,192.1%