inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 104 Excitement6.0 [634] MVPTrevor Ariza (HOU): +29.4%
Houston Rockets 115 Comeback4.2 [410] LVPDeron Williams (DAL): -14.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chandler Parsons0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.250.080.061579%0.271-0.01967%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.030.001370%0.161-0.021100%0.01
Wesley Matthews0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.04-0.021162%0.151-0.03250%-0.01
Raymond Felton0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.010.041070%0.132-0.083100%0.00
John Jenkins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Anderson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.02455%-0.0000.00367%-0.01
Salah Mejri-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01671%0.083-0.082100%0.02
Charlie Villanueva-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0420%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.01721%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Deron Williams-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.03-0.04920%-0.053-0.092100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.260.060.021585%0.2900.00425%-0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.10-0.02677%0.181-0.001100%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.07-0.01580%0.1500.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.07-0.021152%0.1300.003100%0.02
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.03-0.021453%0.091-0.012100%0.01
James Harden0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.01-0.011855%0.112-0.066100%0.03
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Clint Capela0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02747%-0.0200.0030%-0.05
Patrick Beverley0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.031035%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.0230%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.60.830.215.625.72.032.0132.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +25.0%
HOU +0.7%
HOU +2.1%
HOU +24.3%
DAL -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game16.514.014.9110.6121.1105.1
season15.514.0105.0105.9
opponent15.114.7106.9106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.417.118.913.916.5
HOU14.215.612.413.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris21200.38-0.881.27-0.0615-264115.016.9-1.9515.113.71.42
Charlie Villanueva11110.01-0.510.53-0.104-151911.817.1-5.3112.514.2-1.72
Dwight Powell29280.00-0.500.51-0.2910-213115.317.1-1.7914.213.90.38
Justin Anderson87-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-151911.417.0-5.6114.314.00.33
John Jenkins54-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-11118.417.0-8.5716.013.92.11
Jose Juan Barea3029-0.17-0.330.17-0.346-172314.917.3-2.4113.114.3-1.21
Dirk Nowitzki5454-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.15-4-7318.014.53.4612.915.3-2.40
Wesley Matthews6364-0.32-0.18-0.150.15-165-2117.514.62.8814.413.01.41
Raymond Felton6467-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-10916.117.4-1.3114.413.01.39
Deron Williams6163-0.48-0.02-0.460.14-2110-3117.215.22.0914.213.60.58
Salah Mejri5558-0.530.03-0.560.11-2211-3317.415.32.0613.814.3-0.52
Chandler Parsons6970-0.800.30-1.110.08-3019-4917.214.72.4914.014.0-0.03

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza79760.63-0.130.760.0221-103114.013.90.1316.815.41.39
Jason Terry38370.61-0.110.710.0818-72514.313.80.5217.515.91.61
Corey Brewer53550.490.010.490.171101112.815.4-2.5616.915.91.00
Josh Smith46460.460.040.420.3738-514.113.80.2916.516.5-0.06
Ty Lawson47470.410.090.330.3529-714.613.41.1415.217.8-2.64
James Harden71680.220.28-0.05-0.07101914.213.30.8617.115.11.98
Patrick Beverley62610.100.40-0.30-0.1074313.814.4-0.5916.416.8-0.38
Clint Capela49480.060.44-0.38-0.1474313.314.7-1.3916.716.30.40
Terrence Jones1818-0.240.74-0.990.08-1122-3316.113.52.6315.716.7-0.98
Marcus Thornton1214-0.250.75-1.000.13-1324-3714.313.90.4113.617.0-3.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 96, MIL 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.97,1,1,192.3%
UTA 77, LAL 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,192.1%
ORL 89, MIA 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.83,0.77,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,191.7%