NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	63		Excitement	3.9 [989]		MVP	Chris Mills (CLE): +6.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	78		Comeback	1.8 [839]		LVP	Dennis Scott (ORL): -13.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Vaughn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	61%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	10	45%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Schayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Strong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	8	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	49%	-0.00	1	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.05	14	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	8	22%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.6	20.2	15.4	26.3	1.8	27.2	113.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.7%

CLE +0.1%

CLE +15.3%

CLE +10.2%

ORL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	17.6	15.6	73.3	89.7	104.4
season	16.4	17.8		102.9	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.5		100.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.5	16.8	14.2	15.6	15.7
CLE	14.8	20.0	15.8	20.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vaughn	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	14.9	15.8	-0.94	17.6	17.6	0.01
Dan Schayes	35	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-20	25	14.9	16.3	-1.31	18.2	17.1	1.03
Darrell Armstrong	31	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-16	17	16.2	15.5	0.69	20.7	15.7	4.94
Brian Evans	23	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-17	19	14.1	16.3	-2.17	17.1	17.7	-0.57
Gerald Wilkins	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-12	9	15.1	16.4	-1.24	18.6	16.5	2.15
Dennis Scott	48	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-7	-1	16.0	15.4	0.58	16.1	19.4	-3.25
Horace Grant	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	0	-15	15.2	17.5	-2.32	16.6	20.6	-3.97
Nick Anderson	51	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	0	-15	16.7	14.2	2.52	17.8	17.2	0.66
Anfernee Hardaway	61	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.16	-22	7	-29	15.5	16.3	-0.84	16.2	20.7	-4.46
Derek Strong	65	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.03	-22	7	-29	16.8	12.4	4.42	18.2	15.7	2.52

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.02	20	-5	25	18.3	14.2	4.14	16.5	12.1	4.43
Tyrone Hill	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-6	27	17.3	20.2	-2.97	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Chris Mills	87	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	0	15	17.6	0.0	17.56	15.7	0.0	15.72
Danny Ferry	64	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	4	7	19.6	11.8	7.86	16.0	14.9	1.12
Terrell Brandon	74	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	-1	17	16.9	21.2	-4.22	15.2	18.5	-3.32
Vitaly Potapenko	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	17	-19	14.2	19.5	-5.39	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Bobby Phills	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	19	-23	17.1	17.7	-0.60	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Reggie Geary	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	19.5	17.5	1.98	13.0	15.8	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
POR 84, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 81, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%