NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	3.9 [1017]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (POR): +8.6%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	1.5 [427]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -12.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	82%	0.10	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.02	0.08	19	56%	0.02	5	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Andre Miller	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	18	57%	0.13	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	7	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	15	35%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.06	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	30.0	18.7	26.4	2.5	30.2	134.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.5%

POR -9.3%

POR -2.9%

NYK +17.2%

NYK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	17.7	15.3	95.5	106.9	106.0
season	16.7	14.7		108.8	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.9	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	17.5	15.0	11.5	15.2
NYK	13.3	16.8	19.3	22.2	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.35	12	-21	33	10.5	16.0	-5.55	24.7	16.5	8.18
Dante Cunningham	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-2	-5	17.1	14.7	2.37	18.3	17.6	0.74
Steve Blake	73	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-9	9	15.3	14.9	0.39	16.3	23.5	-7.13
Andre Miller	47	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-7	5	14.8	15.6	-0.83	18.2	17.1	1.07
Martell Webster	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	2	-13	16.1	14.4	1.73	16.9	18.6	-1.73
Brandon Roy	74	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-6	3	15.1	15.9	-0.79	17.6	18.3	-0.72
Jerryd Bayless	28	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	3	-15	14.7	15.4	-0.70	22.2	15.7	6.51
LaMarcus Aldridge	84	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	15.2	15.0	0.20	16.7	34.2	-17.47
Joel Przybilla	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	2	-13	15.6	14.4	1.23	17.4	18.4	-1.03

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.14	14	-5	19	18.2	16.3	1.90	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Al Harrington	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-1	11	17.5	18.4	-0.88	16.1	12.8	3.29
David Lee	71	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-5	19	16.7	22.5	-5.84	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Chris Duhon	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-3	15	17.4	18.9	-1.55	14.7	17.1	-2.44
Larry Hughes	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	18.7	15.9	2.80	14.4	16.5	-2.10
Jared Jeffries	39	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	2	5	17.7	17.7	-0.03	15.3	15.1	0.18
Toney Douglas	19	19	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	12	-15	18.9	17.4	1.55	17.1	14.7	2.44
Wilson Chandler	54	52	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.47	-16	25	-41	17.8	17.6	0.26	15.7	14.5	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.97,1,1	95.8%
ORL 63, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAC 83, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%