NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	4.4 [931]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +10.0%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.7 [762]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -8.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	8	81%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.07	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	12	48%	0.00	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	12	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	19	51%	0.12	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.2	31.1	14.8	34.2	2.5	30.2	139.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.9%

WAS -0.5%

BOS +19.2%

BOS +10.8%

WAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	15.1	14.8	99.0	108.9	107.7
season	14.4	14.7		109.9	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	13.0	13.8	10.7	13.2
BOS	15.0	13.6	15.0	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Jennings	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.31	14	-22	36	12.1	13.8	-1.69	15.6	14.8	0.80
Jason Smith	38	38	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.24	9	-17	26	12.8	13.4	-0.56	15.6	14.7	0.92
Tomas Satoransky	17	16	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-16	24	12.0	13.4	-1.43	16.3	14.8	1.49
Bojan Bogdanovic	62	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.43	13	-21	34	11.8	15.3	-3.49	15.3	14.6	0.68
Kelly Oubre Jr.	54	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-12	16	11.6	14.9	-3.33	15.6	14.5	1.15
Marcin Gortat	22	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	15.7	12.5	3.22	16.8	14.6	2.23
Ian Mahinmi	37	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	5	-18	14.1	12.7	1.47	13.4	15.9	-2.54
Otto Porter Jr.	45	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	3	-14	14.8	12.0	2.81	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Markieff Morris	65	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.02	-17	9	-26	13.4	12.8	0.56	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Bradley Beal	69	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.00	-19	11	-30	13.7	12.1	1.65	14.8	15.6	-0.86
John Wall	72	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.02	-21	13	-34	13.6	12.2	1.43	14.8	15.7	-0.94

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	80	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-7	22	14.7	16.3	-1.61	13.4	12.4	1.06
Isaiah Thomas	70	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-7	22	15.5	14.0	1.58	13.3	13.0	0.27
Al Horford	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-2	12	15.0	15.3	-0.30	12.8	14.4	-1.54
Avery Bradley	69	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-4	16	14.8	15.5	-0.69	13.8	11.8	2.05
Amir Johnson	43	44	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.05	13	-5	18	14.7	15.3	-0.67	14.8	12.0	2.84
Kelly Olynyk	37	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	4	0	15.2	15.0	0.16	13.8	12.9	0.90
Jaylen Brown	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	14	-20	14.7	15.3	-0.63	13.1	13.3	-0.17
Marcus Smart	46	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.27	-10	18	-28	15.7	14.6	1.09	11.3	14.8	-3.57
Terry Rozier	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.23	-9	17	-26	15.9	14.8	1.08	11.4	13.8	-2.47
Tyler Zeller	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	12	-16	14.5	15.1	-0.60	14.1	13.1	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 84, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 102, DAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 87, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%