inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 102 Excitement3.6 [1091] MVPTony Delk (DAL): +9.8%
Dallas Mavericks 127 Comeback1.3 [991] LVPDeShawn Stevenson (UTA): -12.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raja Bell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.051070%0.0400.00367%-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.001466%0.063-0.034100%0.01
Ben Handlogten0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.080.000.053100%0.0300.004100%0.01
Mo Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.05-0.00-0.061132%0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.011242%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.03430%-0.0210.00250%-0.01
Jarron Collins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01650%-0.021-0.024100%-0.00
Raul Lopez-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03410%-0.062-0.03250%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.130,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.030.001753%-0.025-0.111173%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.010.041371%0.1000.00580%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.02888%0.121-0.031100%0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.011070%0.111-0.02367%-0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.001162%0.071-0.02475%0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.03375%0.0100.002100%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04762%0.0000.002100%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.04735%-0.0000.00367%-0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.011050%-0.011-0.024100%0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011549%-0.073-0.00786%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.727.215.725.12.428.3126.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +25.6%
DAL +14.4%
UTA -2.5%
DAL +11.9%
DAL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADALNBAUTADALNBA
this game17.313.715.7110.9135.1100.5
season17.214.699.4109.2
opponent15.615.2105.0100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.318.316.518.117.3
DAL12.013.014.815.413.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams4950-0.01-0.490.470.13-5-201517.317.3-0.0413.514.0-0.56
Sasha Pavlovic3838-0.08-0.420.330.09-6-191318.716.32.3914.613.11.48
Jarron Collins3233-0.10-0.400.300.14-8-17917.217.3-0.1512.514.4-1.86
Greg Ostertag3839-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-201517.617.10.5513.913.60.25
Ben Handlogten3738-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-14317.517.10.4314.613.11.48
Raul Lopez3941-0.33-0.17-0.150.11-15-10-517.417.20.1814.213.40.84
Raja Bell4345-0.34-0.16-0.180.21-19-6-1318.016.61.3912.914.5-1.56
Matt Harpring5151-0.38-0.12-0.250.03-14-11-316.518.3-1.7814.213.21.03
Andrei Kirilenko6769-0.38-0.12-0.270.20-20-5-1516.918.3-1.4213.713.8-0.16
DeShawn Stevenson6666-0.48-0.02-0.450.17-22-3-1916.718.8-2.1813.414.6-1.21

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Delk51500.440.060.38-0.172141713.713.8-0.0816.718.0-1.23
Antawn Jamison66650.400.100.30-0.252231913.215.1-1.9217.716.21.50
Dirk Nowitzki49480.350.150.21-0.11169714.013.40.6217.317.30.02
Steve Nash46470.340.160.180.021114-313.613.9-0.3116.518.1-1.62
Antoine Walker63630.280.220.05-0.22178914.212.81.3216.718.6-1.90
Eduardo Najera23230.190.31-0.120.04520-1513.014.0-1.0218.017.10.90
Shawn Bradley20180.180.32-0.14-0.121015-513.113.9-0.7915.817.6-1.87
Michael Finley71690.160.34-0.18-0.05718-1114.312.02.2817.317.3-0.03
Travis Best48450.160.34-0.18-0.251411313.913.60.3118.116.51.62
Danny Fortson17170.000.50-0.49-0.09322-1913.113.9-0.8119.116.92.18
Marquis Daniels16150.000.50-0.500.03-126-2713.713.7-0.0418.517.01.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 95, HOU 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIN 88, MEM 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIN 98, SAC 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%