NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	3.4 [1150]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): +13.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.4 [1167]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -10.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.01	0.10	7	87%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	57%	0.01	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	13	63%	0.03	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.01	8	100%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	57%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	9	80%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	0.05	7	45%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	27.4	16.5	24.5	3.3	26.5	128.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +35.0%

MIN -0.0%

MEM +4.4%

MEM +10.8%

MIN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.4	97.8	116.7	104.1
season	15.6	16.5		101.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.4	16.8	16.4	14.5	16.1
MEM	14.2	15.9	15.5	18.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-22	27	14.5	16.6	-2.06	18.2	15.2	3.02
Greg Stiemsma	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-17	17	15.4	16.3	-0.87	16.8	15.6	1.18
Dante Cunningham	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-11	5	15.6	16.9	-1.30	16.3	15.4	0.88
Ricky Rubio	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-7	-3	16.5	15.4	1.20	15.1	17.2	-2.07
Alexey Shved	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-9	1	15.6	17.0	-1.42	16.4	15.1	1.30
Derrick Williams	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-2	-13	16.2	15.9	0.24	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Luke Ridnour	63	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-3	-11	16.6	14.9	1.67	15.5	16.9	-1.38
Nikola Pekovic	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	1	-19	16.7	14.9	1.76	15.0	17.5	-2.50
Mickael Gelabale	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	2	-21	16.1	15.8	0.37	16.4	14.7	1.62

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-2	21	16.2	15.3	0.86	16.7	14.4	2.35
Tayshaun Prince	44	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	1	15	15.5	16.4	-0.87	17.1	15.1	1.99
Tony Allen	50	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	4	9	15.2	16.8	-1.63	16.9	15.1	1.76
Marc Gasol	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	-3	23	15.5	17.0	-1.52	16.8	14.2	2.51
Darrell Arthur	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	11	-5	15.5	16.2	-0.73	14.7	16.9	-2.12
Ed Davis	22	20	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	15	-13	15.2	16.2	-0.95	16.6	15.9	0.76
Zach Randolph	57	58	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	10	-3	16.9	14.2	2.74	16.4	15.3	1.10
Jerryd Bayless	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	10	-3	16.4	15.7	0.71	16.1	16.0	0.05
Austin Daye	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	16	-15	16.4	15.5	0.87	15.1	17.1	-1.99
Tony Wroten	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	19	-21	16.0	15.9	0.07	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Jon Leuer	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	16.3	15.9	0.40	4.3	16.5	-12.13
Chris Johnson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	16.3	15.9	0.40	4.3	16.5	-12.13
Quincy Pondexter	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	19	-21	16.4	15.9	0.47	16.1	16.0	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1	96.5%
POR 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 80, MIA 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%