NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	3.0 [1208]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +12.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	1.3 [1056]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -12.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richie Frahm	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	73%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	0.02	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Baker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Viktor Khryapa	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	11	46%	-0.01	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.03	-0.01	0.15	13	67%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.20	0.01	0.08	12	84%	0.13	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	9	79%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.09	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	13	36%	-0.07	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	28.1	15.7	26.1	2.7	28.0	127.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +29.6%

MEM +11.2%

POR -1.9%

MEM +10.1%

MEM +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	17.1	15.6	15.5	94.3	118.2	104.0
season	15.8	16.4		101.2	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	19.1	14.7	16.9	17.1
MEM	14.3	13.0	18.0	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	14.0	17.3	-3.28	17.3	15.5	1.82
Maurice Baker	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-24	27	13.8	17.5	-3.71	19.2	15.2	3.99
Travis Outlaw	51	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-20	19	15.7	19.0	-3.25	16.7	14.2	2.56
Theo Ratliff	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-14	7	16.6	17.5	-0.90	17.0	14.6	2.35
Damon Stoudamire	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.21	-16	-5	-11	17.9	15.4	2.55	15.7	15.5	0.15
Viktor Khryapa	26	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-7	-7	17.8	16.8	1.07	14.5	16.1	-1.61
Sebastian Telfair	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-3	-15	17.5	15.3	2.21	15.4	16.8	-1.44
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-4	-13	17.7	14.9	2.84	15.0	17.6	-2.54
Richie Frahm	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-6	-9	16.8	17.5	-0.66	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Joel Przybilla	61	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.08	-20	-1	-19	17.2	16.9	0.34	15.1	16.7	-1.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-2	25	15.7	15.4	0.30	17.1	17.1	0.01
James Posey	61	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	0	21	16.0	14.7	1.35	16.6	18.2	-1.56
Shane Battier	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	6	9	15.9	14.8	1.08	17.1	17.1	-0.08
Mike Miller	66	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	4	13	14.9	17.9	-3.03	17.9	14.5	3.43
Earl Watson	56	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.24	20	1	19	15.5	15.8	-0.28	17.7	15.8	1.94
Brian Cardinal	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	9	3	15.4	16.1	-0.68	17.1	17.1	-0.05
Antonio Burks	32	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	20	-19	15.8	15.5	0.28	15.8	17.7	-1.94
Ryan Humphrey	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	23	-25	15.5	15.7	-0.12	17.6	17.0	0.57
Dahntay Jones	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	17.3	15.5	1.82	14.0	17.3	-3.28
Jake Tsakalidis	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	17.3	15.5	1.82	14.0	17.3	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 108, WAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	97.1%
MIN 95, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%