NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	93		Excitement	3.9 [993]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +8.3%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	1.5 [815]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -18.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	16	59%	0.02	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.04
Steven Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	21	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Willie Burton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	10	15%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.03	0.04	14	33%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.01	0.07	11	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	69%	0.08	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.01
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.03	-0.05	13	50%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	14	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	15	34%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	22.1	12.8	23.2	2.5	35.6	123.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +55.2%

ATL -12.2%

ATL -1.3%

CHH +8.5%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHH	NBA	ATL	CHH	NBA
this game	17.3	14.6	15.6	103.3	107.7	104.4
season	16.4	15.7		105.3	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.0		106.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.4	24.4	17.5	12.8	17.3
CHH	12.4	15.6	14.6	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eldridge Recasner	41	42	-0.14	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-13	21	19.5	15.4	4.01	16.8	12.7	4.13
Henry James	48	48	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	18.0	16.4	1.59	16.8	12.1	4.72
Ivano Newbill	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	1	-7	20.6	16.0	4.60	16.2	13.9	2.26
Willie Burton	34	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	8	-21	16.9	17.5	-0.54	11.7	16.4	-4.72
Christian Laettner	75	76	-0.38	-0.13	-0.25	-0.38	0	-5	5	16.4	21.8	-5.43	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Mookie Blaylock	79	80	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	15.9	26.8	-10.87	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Dikembe Mutombo	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	17.1	18.8	-1.71	14.3	16.4	-2.07
Steven Smith	68	68	-0.44	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	7	-19	17.1	17.7	-0.53	13.1	18.7	-5.59

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	85	84	0.49	0.02	0.46	0.34	5	0	5	14.2	19.8	-5.65	17.2	19.0	-1.85
Glen Rice	84	84	0.42	0.09	0.33	0.42	0	5	-5	14.2	19.0	-4.81	16.9	22.8	-5.95
Muggsy Bogues	72	72	0.39	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	0	5	14.1	16.3	-2.22	16.4	20.9	-4.51
Dell Curry	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	-1	7	17.1	11.7	5.47	20.1	14.2	5.83
Vlade Divac	58	58	0.32	0.19	0.14	-0.15	16	-11	27	14.3	15.0	-0.64	19.0	14.2	4.84
Scott Burrell	50	49	0.26	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	1	3	12.7	16.8	-4.13	15.3	19.7	-4.37
Matt Geiger	39	38	0.21	0.30	-0.09	0.53	-11	16	-27	15.7	13.7	2.03	14.9	19.0	-4.08
Tony Smith	19	18	0.12	0.39	-0.26	0.12	0	5	-5	16.3	14.1	2.22	20.9	16.4	4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
POR 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 78, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%