NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	4.3 [938]		MVP	Sam Jacobson (MIN): +6.0%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	1.5 [1012]		LVP	Felipe Lopez (MIN): -18.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Jacobson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	19	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	19	45%	-0.05	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	7	31%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.02	0.06	15	47%	-0.09	5	-0.10	4	50%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	72%	0.09	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.01	2	-0.01	12	83%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	35%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	14	47%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	22	45%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	31.2	15.8	24.4	2.4	34.4	130.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.0%

SAC +15.9%

SAC +6.4%

SAC +10.1%

SAC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	13.1	15.5	91.6	103.8	100.9
season	15.0	14.4		102.9	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		97.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	14.1	14.0	13.3	13.9
SAC	12.8	12.5	14.8	12.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-16	20	14.2	13.9	0.36	17.5	12.5	5.05
William Avery	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-20	28	10.8	14.3	-3.49	9.8	13.5	-3.69
Dean Garrett	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-10	8	14.2	13.9	0.25	15.6	12.8	2.86
Sam Mitchell	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-18	24	13.3	14.4	-1.12	13.4	12.9	0.44
Sam Jacobson	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-12	12	14.2	13.8	0.32	12.7	13.3	-0.51
Chauncey Billups	23	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-8	4	15.2	13.6	1.58	13.4	13.0	0.41
Rasho Nesterovic	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.22	1	-13	14	13.4	14.3	-0.94	11.2	14.5	-3.32
LaPhonso Ellis	39	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	5	-22	14.4	13.7	0.67	12.2	13.6	-1.38
Wally Szczerbiak	73	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	14.0	13.8	0.21	13.6	12.0	1.67
Felipe Lopez	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	13.6	14.8	-1.20	12.4	15.1	-2.71
Terrell Brandon	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	5	-22	14.1	13.5	0.62	13.4	12.1	1.29
Kevin Garnett	88	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	6	-24	14.4	11.8	2.61	13.7	10.4	3.33

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	86	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	3	6	13.8	10.3	3.46	14.3	12.4	1.90
Chris Webber	88	90	0.41	0.10	0.31	-0.09	17	-5	22	13.7	10.3	3.34	14.3	12.1	2.23
Scot Pollard	53	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	3	6	13.6	12.6	0.96	14.3	13.5	0.81
Doug Christie	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	1	10	13.8	12.0	1.82	13.9	14.0	-0.15
Hedo Turkoglu	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	6	0	12.6	13.7	-1.17	14.0	13.9	0.06
Vlade Divac	52	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	4	4	13.8	12.4	1.34	14.2	13.7	0.42
Jason Williams	56	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	1	10	13.9	12.2	1.71	14.4	13.4	1.05
Bobby Jackson	50	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	11	-10	12.2	13.9	-1.71	13.4	14.4	-1.05
Art Long	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	2.9	13.8	-10.97	9.3	14.2	-4.87
Jon Barry	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	9.8	13.5	-3.69	10.8	14.3	-3.49
Darrick Martin	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	2.9	13.8	-10.97	9.3	14.2	-4.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 81, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
UTA 102, DAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHI 93, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%