NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	81		Excitement	3.2 [1103]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +9.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	104		Comeback	1.4 [1157]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -17.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	0.00	0.09	16	78%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	14	37%	-0.02	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	10	35%	-0.07	7	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.01	0.05	12	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	6	60%	0.03	3	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	12	58%	0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	48%	-0.00	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	-0.07	10	43%	0.00	6	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	24.4	15.4	22.6	2.7	24.0	113.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.9%

POR +2.1%

POR +15.8%

POR +2.5%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	POR	NBA	VAN	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.5	83.5	107.2	100.9
season	15.6	15.8		97.4	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.3	16.0	13.9	12.6	14.6
POR	15.7	14.7	13.2	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-20	17	12.6	15.3	-2.73	16.7	14.5	2.25
Damon Jones	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-14	5	15.3	14.4	0.86	15.1	15.0	0.09
Kevin Edwards	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-13	3	16.0	14.3	1.70	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Stromile Swift	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-13	3	14.2	14.9	-0.66	15.5	14.7	0.81
Bryant Reeves	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.21	-13	-10	-3	14.5	14.9	-0.36	15.1	15.0	0.04
Ike Austin	37	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-13	3	14.9	14.5	0.36	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Othella Harrington	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-10	-3	14.9	14.2	0.66	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Michael Dickerson	75	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	-10	-3	14.3	16.0	-1.70	15.3	14.3	0.98
Mike Bibby	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-9	-5	14.4	15.3	-0.86	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	-3	-17	15.3	12.6	2.73	14.5	16.7	-2.25

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.20	27	-4	31	15.2	14.6	0.62	15.3	12.7	2.51
Damon Stoudamire	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	11	1	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.1	15.9	-1.87
Shawn Kemp	46	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	12	-1	15.8	14.3	1.51	14.2	15.0	-0.74
Stacey Augmon	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	11	1	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.0	14.4	0.63
Scottie Pippen	61	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	12	-1	14.9	15.4	-0.49	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Bonzi Wells	58	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.15	13	10	3	14.7	15.5	-0.81	14.8	14.3	0.49
Arvydas Sabonis	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	16	-9	14.5	15.7	-1.27	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Dale Davis	52	53	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	18	-13	15.2	14.9	0.34	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Greg Anthony	18	19	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	13	-3	12.6	15.6	-3.06	17.7	13.9	3.79
Gary Grant	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	16.6	14.8	1.81	13.3	14.8	-1.54
Will Perdue	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	15.4	15.0	0.39	14.2	14.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, IND 121	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIN 98, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%