NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	3.2 [1130]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +12.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.6 [802]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -15.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	7	73%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	14	52%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	-0.06	10	14%	-0.08	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	0.02	14	33%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.19	-0.00	0.06	18	85%	0.17	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	10	90%	0.13	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	28.2	16.3	26.4	2.3	23.6	123.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +44.0%

DAL -4.1%

PHI +4.3%

PHI +3.6%

PHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	15.2	87.0	107.1	101.7
season	14.8	15.0		104.2	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.8		98.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	16.1	15.7	12.6	14.8
PHI	14.8	12.7	15.0	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-20	21	12.5	15.9	-3.45	14.2	14.1	0.18
Hubert Davis	38	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-21	23	13.0	16.0	-2.99	14.1	14.1	0.03
Greg Buckner	43	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-19	19	13.7	15.7	-1.99	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Sean Rooks	42	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-24	29	14.3	15.2	-0.90	14.7	13.7	1.00
Robert Pack	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-11	3	15.3	14.4	0.96	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Cedric Ceballos	57	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.29	-17	-2	-15	15.5	14.0	1.46	13.0	15.5	-2.58
Erick Strickland	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-6	-7	15.0	14.7	0.30	14.2	14.1	0.13
Dirk Nowitzki	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-9	-1	15.6	14.0	1.62	14.4	13.7	0.69
Dennis Rodman	38	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-3	-13	15.8	14.3	1.51	14.1	14.1	0.04
Steve Nash	42	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-12	5	15.0	14.7	0.33	15.6	13.0	2.56
Michael Finley	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.46	-32	13	-45	15.8	12.9	2.86	14.1	14.2	-0.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.23	25	-6	31	13.5	15.5	-1.94	15.4	13.5	1.86
Allen Iverson	76	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.41	31	-12	43	13.4	16.6	-3.20	15.8	11.4	4.44
Toni Kukoc	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	2	15	13.7	14.6	-0.88	15.4	14.0	1.43
Theo Ratliff	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	2	15	14.8	13.1	1.68	15.9	13.3	2.60
Tyrone Hill	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	5	9	13.9	14.3	-0.44	15.6	14.3	1.24
George Lynch	68	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	0	19	13.5	15.5	-1.95	15.3	13.8	1.47
Matt Geiger	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	21	-23	14.0	14.2	-0.16	14.0	15.2	-1.25
Kevin Ollie	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.30	-10	29	-39	17.3	13.4	3.87	10.8	15.7	-4.87
Todd MacCulloch	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	15.9	14.0	1.88	11.5	15.1	-3.62
Jumaine Jones	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	17.7	13.6	4.05	10.1	15.5	-5.39
Ira Bowman	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	15.9	14.0	1.88	11.5	15.1	-3.62
Aaron McKie	50	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	26	-33	14.3	13.9	0.34	13.5	16.2	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 97, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
POR 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%