inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 92 Excitement4.4 [942] MVPJason Kapono (MIA): +19.4%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback1.5 [890] LVPDorell Wright (MIA): -8.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andris Biedrins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.003100%0.101-0.031100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.010.031647%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ike Diogu0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00462%0.002-0.00580%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.08410%-0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Keith McLeod-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02650%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jason Richardson-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.001943%-0.011-0.02450%-0.02
Adonal Foyle-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Roberson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.010.052049%-0.033-0.051100%0.00
Baron Davis-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.021433%-0.003-0.0820%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.170.02-0.001871%0.221-0.022100%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.03781%0.0800.002100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.03-0.001553%0.103-0.06475%0.02
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00764%0.062-0.03875%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01962%0.072-0.04333%-0.03
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03250%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.02950%0.012-0.05250%0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.13-0.00-0.05712%-0.062-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.527.816.032.11.825.3128.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +49.1%
MIA +8.7%
GSW -4.9%
GSW -6.8%
MIA +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMIANBAGSWMIANBA
this game13.215.215.492.0102.9104.5
season13.516.0105.7102.4
opponent15.615.2104.3105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.213.914.811.113.2
MIA14.514.314.018.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Diogu2829-0.02-0.480.46-0.237-202711.613.9-2.3317.814.23.61
Keith McLeod4343-0.02-0.480.45-0.206-192512.313.9-1.5817.014.02.99
Patrick O'Bryant2527-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-161911.613.8-2.1517.814.33.49
Monta Ellis4241-0.11-0.390.28-0.141-141513.013.4-0.3916.514.42.04
Adonal Foyle4039-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-3-715.112.03.1714.016.0-1.97
Andris Biedrins2830-0.22-0.280.070.02-8-5-311.813.8-2.0315.215.3-0.06
Jason Richardson6969-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.06-8-5-313.911.72.2314.616.6-2.01
Anthony Roberson1112-0.31-0.19-0.130.13-152-1716.212.93.299.516.0-6.51
Mike Dunleavy7578-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.15-8-5-313.313.00.3315.215.3-0.12
Baron Davis5456-0.43-0.07-0.370.12-196-2514.411.92.4413.217.7-4.54
Matt Barnes8586-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.07-141-1512.716.3-3.6315.414.60.81

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams79770.59-0.090.67-0.1826-133914.418.3-3.8914.110.53.54
Jason Kapono72690.430.070.360.0214-11516.013.42.5713.113.6-0.53
Dwyane Wade77770.420.080.35-0.1319-62514.517.6-3.1713.412.70.78
James Posey55530.390.110.28-0.0515-21715.315.10.1813.912.61.31
Udonis Haslem56550.390.110.280.041211114.016.7-2.6813.313.20.09
Alonzo Mourning41420.100.40-0.30-0.0767-114.116.0-1.8814.612.32.28
Antoine Walker55540.090.41-0.320.29-720-2717.113.13.9312.414.2-1.83
Dorell Wright39390.070.43-0.360.28-720-2714.715.6-0.9412.613.7-1.12
Michael Doleac22220.020.48-0.460.05-114-1517.214.72.4712.813.4-0.61
Earl Barron760.000.50-0.500.18-619-2519.914.94.957.213.6-6.47
Chris Quinn760.000.50-0.500.18-619-2519.914.94.957.213.6-6.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 89, LAL 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
DET 88, MIL 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
POR 80, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,196.2%