inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 81 Excitement3.8 [1035] MVPWesley Person (CLE): +6.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 99 Comeback1.5 [764] LVPChris Childs (TOR): -13.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keon Clark0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.001369%0.133-0.0700%0.00
Jermaine Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.060.01-0.06350%0.022-0.01475%-0.01
Mamadou N'diaye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Bradley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Stewart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.031442%-0.001-0.03333%-0.03
Morris Peterson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011252%-0.021-0.02967%-0.01
Eric Montross-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.03725%-0.031-0.0220%-0.02
Tracy Murray-0.120,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.010.041146%-0.063-0.06250%-0.01
Alvin Williams-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.010.021132%-0.073-0.0700%0.00
Chris Childs-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.02425%-0.065-0.0700%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.000.011265%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.030.021465%0.102-0.04683%0.02
Lamond Murray0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.01-0.00-0.031553%0.051-0.02683%0.02
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02875%0.053-0.02887%0.01
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.012100%0.022-0.013100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01933%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.730.215.425.62.422.6120.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +20.7%
CLE +13.3%
TOR -14.0%
CLE +26.5%
CLE +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCLENBATORCLENBA
this game16.415.615.690.0110.0102.3
season16.215.8100.3102.6
opponent15.515.6106.2100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.916.016.316.216.4
CLE13.817.516.415.115.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine Jackson39390.12-0.620.75-0.087-253215.616.9-1.2814.816.3-1.52
Mamadou N'diaye660.00-0.500.500.000-181814.216.5-2.3617.815.52.36
Michael Bradley760.00-0.500.500.000-181815.716.4-0.7117.815.52.36
Michael Stewart760.00-0.500.500.000-181815.716.4-0.7117.815.52.36
Eric Montross4748-0.19-0.310.120.05-8-10216.616.20.3915.116.2-1.04
Morris Peterson5253-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-8-215.817.1-1.3215.715.60.07
Keon Clark4749-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-12-6-616.316.5-0.2316.314.81.48
Antonio Davis6969-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.02-14-4-1016.615.70.9115.217.0-1.78
Chris Childs5452-0.48-0.02-0.470.05-180-1816.715.90.8016.814.12.74
Tracy Murray5958-0.49-0.01-0.470.13-213-2416.915.41.4515.715.50.26
Alvin Williams6364-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.08-14-4-1016.615.80.7914.817.7-2.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamond Murray67690.63-0.130.76-0.0724-63015.416.3-0.8416.815.01.78
Wesley Person66650.440.060.390.031441015.316.5-1.1816.715.51.23
Brian Skinner41410.400.100.30-0.041531215.515.7-0.1816.616.20.45
Jumaine Jones52510.360.140.210.03117415.715.60.1416.216.5-0.30
Andre Miller72730.350.150.19-0.071441016.113.92.1816.814.52.34
Chris Mihm21230.140.36-0.22-0.04612-614.615.9-1.3217.316.01.32
Ricky Davis50490.130.37-0.24-0.02513-815.316.1-0.8415.417.6-2.19
Zydrunas Ilgauskas40380.050.45-0.410.05018-1816.315.11.2015.716.8-1.14
DeSagana Diop20200.030.47-0.44-0.03216-1414.715.9-1.1416.516.30.24
Michael Doleac670.000.50-0.500.00018-1817.815.52.3615.716.4-0.71
Bryant Stith1514-0.020.52-0.540.01-119-2017.115.31.8013.916.8-2.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 75, LAL 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
DET 88, MIL 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
ORL 63, CLE 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%