NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	75		Excitement	3.3 [1135]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +15.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.6 [913]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -6.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.01	0.07	13	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	11	46%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	16	62%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	34	53%	0.15	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.6	31.2	20.5	30.3	2.8	32.2	148.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.9%

ORL -1.1%

LAL +7.9%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.7	15.5	85.2	113.6	106.4
season	15.3	14.9		107.3	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		102.6	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.5	16.5	17.1	14.0	16.0
LAL	16.3	14.8	16.4	19.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	14.8	16.3	-1.47	18.4	16.4	2.05
Marcin Gortat	37	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-22	19	15.8	16.2	-0.46	16.8	16.6	0.21
Tony Battie	11	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-23	21	12.5	16.5	-3.97	17.9	16.6	1.32
Courtney Lee	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-18	11	15.7	16.3	-0.59	16.8	16.6	0.16
Rafer Alston	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-19	13	16.7	15.4	1.27	16.6	16.9	-0.30
Jameer Nelson	44	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.20	-19	-6	-13	15.4	16.7	-1.27	16.9	16.6	0.30
Mickael Pietrus	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	-2	-21	16.1	15.9	0.24	17.1	16.0	1.10
Hedo Turkoglu	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	-5	-15	16.4	15.1	1.37	15.9	18.5	-2.62
Rashard Lewis	65	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	1	-27	16.5	14.8	1.68	16.2	18.2	-2.01
Dwight Howard	63	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.06	-19	-6	-13	16.3	15.2	1.09	17.0	16.0	1.01

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	69	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.18	25	0	25	16.1	19.0	-2.93	16.7	13.6	3.05
Derek Fisher	57	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	3	19	16.2	17.6	-1.45	17.0	14.2	2.82
Lamar Odom	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	4	17	16.4	17.3	-0.90	16.3	15.5	0.74
Trevor Ariza	42	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	7	11	16.6	16.8	-0.16	16.7	15.3	1.41
Andrew Bynum	40	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	16	-7	16.4	17.0	-0.56	16.4	15.7	0.64
Pau Gasol	68	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	11	3	16.7	16.7	-0.06	16.9	13.4	3.48
Luke Walton	46	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	18	-11	16.8	16.6	0.16	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Josh Powell	5	6	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	21	-17	19.0	16.6	2.43	8.3	16.6	-8.25
Shannon Brown	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	22	-19	21.5	15.7	5.82	12.1	16.8	-4.77
Jordan Farmar	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	16.6	16.7	-0.11	15.2	16.3	-1.12
DJ Mbenga	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	21.5	16.5	5.02	6.0	16.5	-10.50
Sasha Vujacic	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	26	-27	16.9	16.7	0.23	13.8	16.3	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 88, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 81, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%