NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	3.5 [1065]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +10.9%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	1.7 [330]		LVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): -7.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	23	60%	0.11	2	-0.00	9	78%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	52%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	12	59%	0.10	3	-0.04	8	37%	-0.00
John Starks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Scott Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	55%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	87%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	52%	-0.03	2	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.05	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	25	40%	0.02	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	7	63%	-0.00	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	31.0	18.8	28.3	2.6	35.0	142.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.7%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +8.3%

NYK +5.6%

ORL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.6	116.1	97.7	104.4
season	15.1	16.4		102.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	15.8	15.2	16.3	15.8
ORL	17.5	18.5	18.3	14.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	69	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	7	1	15.7	16.3	-0.55	17.6	15.4	2.22
Larry Johnson	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	4	7	15.6	16.5	-0.91	17.9	15.1	2.83
Allan Houston	68	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	0	15	15.0	18.7	-3.71	16.9	17.8	-0.96
Charles Oakley	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	0	15	16.4	14.8	1.60	17.7	16.1	1.56
Chris Childs	76	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	7	1	16.1	13.7	2.42	16.6	20.1	-3.45
John Starks	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	10	-5	15.7	16.0	-0.30	15.6	18.8	-3.25
Buck Williams	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	7	1	17.0	14.9	2.11	16.9	17.2	-0.35
Charlie Ward	19	20	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	11	-7	16.3	15.7	0.61	18.0	16.8	1.21
Scott Brooks	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	3.5	16.1	-12.63	13.0	17.2	-4.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	12	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-15	15	14.6	17.5	-2.88	16.0	15.8	0.18
Dan Schayes	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-9	3	17.3	17.0	0.30	17.8	15.6	2.16
Brian Shaw	42	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-8	1	15.5	18.5	-2.95	15.1	16.5	-1.31
Dennis Scott	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-11	7	17.7	16.1	1.67	16.3	15.1	1.21
Gerald Wilkins	34	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-3	-9	15.8	17.9	-2.08	16.6	15.4	1.19
Horace Grant	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-4	-7	19.0	15.3	3.69	16.0	15.7	0.22
Derek Strong	49	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-5	-5	15.9	18.5	-2.55	16.3	15.2	1.09
Rony Seikaly	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-9	3	17.4	16.3	1.10	15.6	16.4	-0.75
Nick Anderson	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-7	-1	17.7	15.2	2.45	15.4	17.3	-1.91
Anfernee Hardaway	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	17.3	16.3	0.99	15.5	17.3	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 129, BKN 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 124, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIA 95, SAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%