NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	124		Excitement	3.5 [1131]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +16.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.8 [721]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -11.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.04	0.05	18	68%	0.17	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
John Jenkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.04	13	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Ivan Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	13	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	-0.01	20	70%	0.19	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.15	-0.00	0.13	9	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.12	9	65%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	12	35%	-0.04	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	14	39%	-0.07	5	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	27.1	15.7	25.1	2.4	25.6	120.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.0%

ATL +1.3%

PHI -0.2%

ATL +1.9%

ATL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.0	15.4	125.3	101.0	104.1
season	15.1	15.5		102.6	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	13.7	14.6	16.8	15.0
PHI	12.9	15.6	14.2	13.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	36	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	13	-3	14.3	15.3	-0.98	14.4	13.7	0.65
Josh Smith	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	8	7	15.1	14.7	0.39	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Jeff Teague	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	5	13	14.9	15.2	-0.29	14.1	13.8	0.34
DeShawn Stevenson	36	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	6	11	13.5	15.8	-2.25	14.8	13.5	1.30
Shelvin Mack	27	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	16	-9	15.8	14.6	1.18	12.8	14.4	-1.62
Devin Harris	38	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	15	-7	14.3	15.4	-1.09	14.5	13.7	0.82
John Jenkins	67	68	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.18	13	10	3	15.1	14.7	0.40	14.1	13.8	0.26
Ivan Johnson	38	37	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.22	14	9	5	13.9	15.6	-1.69	14.4	13.7	0.66
Anthony Tolliver	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	23	-23	16.3	14.5	1.77	13.0	14.3	-1.29
Al Horford	56	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.17	9	14	-5	15.2	14.6	0.63	14.1	13.8	0.30
Kyle Korver	38	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	17	-11	15.4	14.7	0.79	13.8	14.1	-0.24
Dahntay Jones	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	19.1	14.5	4.57	11.5	14.3	-2.77

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-25	27	11.5	14.3	-2.77	19.1	14.5	4.57
Royal Ivey	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-18	13	17.3	13.8	3.56	11.4	15.1	-3.75
Nick Young	55	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-16	9	13.9	14.1	-0.14	15.2	14.7	0.54
Arnett Moultrie	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-16	9	14.1	13.9	0.14	15.7	14.4	1.34
Spencer Hawes	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-13	3	13.7	14.3	-0.66	15.1	14.8	0.29
Damien Wilkins	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-14	5	14.2	13.8	0.38	14.7	15.2	-0.41
Lavoy Allen	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-8	-7	16.3	13.2	3.13	12.7	15.7	-3.05
Evan Turner	80	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-10	-3	14.0	13.8	0.18	15.2	13.9	1.34
Dorell Wright	53	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-7	-9	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.3	14.6	0.73
Thaddeus Young	67	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-7	-9	13.7	14.7	-1.01	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Jrue Holiday	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	-4	-15	13.9	14.1	-0.26	14.5	15.6	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 113, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NYK 101, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
UTA 120, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%