NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	120		Excitement	3.8 [1088]		MVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): +17.6%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	2.1 [747]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -7.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.03	0.04	16	71%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.20	0.01	0.07	19	76%	0.17	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	87%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	8	43%	-0.01	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.18	0.00	0.09	10	80%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.18	-0.00	0.10	11	109%	0.16	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.05	18	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Georgios Papagiannis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	6	37%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.03	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.6	25.4	14.8	27.6	0.8	30.2	124.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.4%

SAC -3.4%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +19.8%

UTA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	14.7	130.4	112.9	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		106.6	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	17.4	16.4	16.0	16.6
SAC	16.0	17.7	12.0	13.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	9	-3	16.6	16.5	0.13	13.8	16.0	-2.24
Joe Ingles	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.05	10	5	5	15.9	17.8	-1.83	14.7	14.3	0.37
Royce O'Neale	32	34	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	2	11	17.5	16.1	1.40	14.9	14.3	0.60
Ekpe Udoh	30	32	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	5	5	16.8	16.5	0.27	14.7	14.5	0.24
Donovan Mitchell	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	9	-3	15.9	18.5	-2.65	14.6	14.6	-0.02
Joe Johnson	47	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	7	1	17.4	15.7	1.76	14.8	14.3	0.56
Derrick Favors	62	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	10	-5	16.5	16.8	-0.27	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Ricky Rubio	57	55	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.13	12	3	9	16.8	16.3	0.53	15.1	13.7	1.43
Raul Neto	20	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	11	-7	17.3	16.4	0.97	13.7	14.8	-1.15
Jonas Jerebko	23	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	14	-13	16.0	16.8	-0.72	14.6	14.5	0.07

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georgios Papagiannis	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	12.2	14.7	-2.49	12.0	16.9	-4.85
Justin Jackson	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-6	-3	13.8	14.9	-1.04	14.8	17.2	-2.43
Zach Randolph	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-13	11	15.4	13.8	1.53	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Malachi Richardson	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-9	3	15.9	14.2	1.69	14.1	17.1	-2.98
Willie Cauley-Stein	70	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	14.4	15.2	-0.82	17.5	13.7	3.82
De'Aaron Fox	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	14.5	14.7	-0.18	16.7	16.3	0.38
Bogdan Bogdanovic	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-9	3	14.5	14.6	-0.09	17.1	14.3	2.80
Buddy Hield	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.8	14.3	0.51	17.6	15.5	2.09
Kosta Koufos	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	0	-15	14.3	14.7	-0.39	17.2	16.1	1.04
George Hill	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-3	-9	14.4	15.1	-0.75	15.8	19.7	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 116, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
WAS 106, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
NJN 94, TOR 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%