NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	106		Excitement	3.1 [1133]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +12.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	84		Comeback	1.6 [427]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (POR): -5.1%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.00	-0.11	20	64%	0.20	6	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	18	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	71%	0.07	4	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	46%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Fish	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	14	60%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	8	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	20	52%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.7	26.0	14.8	26.1	1.8	25.8	117.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +29.3%

WAS +6.4%

WAS +1.9%

WAS +10.1%

WAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.6	111.6	90.3	104.4
season	14.8	15.5		104.3	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.1	16.2	15.0	17.0	15.6
POR	16.6	17.3	15.0	11.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	80	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	4	14	16.1	12.7	3.42	15.6	12.1	3.44
Tracy Murray	63	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	4	14	16.1	14.7	1.44	14.4	16.2	-1.76
Harvey Grant	59	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	3	16	14.3	17.8	-3.58	16.0	13.5	2.46
Chris Webber	73	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	5	12	15.6	15.7	-0.15	15.5	13.5	1.93
Rod Strickland	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.20	18	4	14	14.5	17.9	-3.41	15.7	13.6	2.05
Chris Whitney	32	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	18	-14	17.9	14.5	3.41	13.6	15.7	-2.05
Jaren Jackson	51	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	14	-6	17.2	13.7	3.47	13.7	16.7	-3.00
Gheorghe Muresan	39	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	16	-10	15.3	15.8	-0.56	15.9	14.4	1.54
Matt Fish	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	11.0	15.9	-4.92	11.5	15.3	-3.76
Ben Wallace	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	12.0	16.0	-3.99	10.1	15.5	-5.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-18	14	14.1	15.3	-1.20	16.4	15.4	1.03
Jermaine O'Neal	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-24	26	13.7	15.7	-1.95	16.8	15.1	1.69
Reggie Jordan	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-19	16	13.1	16.1	-3.04	17.9	14.4	3.52
Rasheed Wallace	30	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-19	16	16.4	14.4	1.99	14.7	16.1	-1.34
Mitchell Butler	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.21	-11	-11	0	12.7	16.1	-3.44	14.8	16.0	-1.23
Aaron McKie	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-5	-12	14.8	15.3	-0.47	15.9	15.4	0.48
Isaiah Rider	36	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-12	2	16.1	14.4	1.73	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Arvydas Sabonis	55	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-12	2	15.7	14.0	1.73	15.6	15.6	0.08
Kenny Anderson	70	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-8	-6	15.6	13.4	2.17	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Clifford Robinson	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	-5	-12	15.4	12.6	2.80	15.9	14.0	1.89
Gary Trent	37	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	1	-24	15.4	14.7	0.68	15.1	16.0	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 86, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NYK 102, MIL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 102, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%