NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	3.4 [1137]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +19.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	88		Comeback	1.5 [692]		LVP	Larry Sanders (MIL): -7.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.02	-0.01	18	64%	0.20	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.03
Steve Novak	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.02	0.07	10	95%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	4	94%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	92%	0.11	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
James White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	10	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	8	90%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	61%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	12	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	26.6	15.4	25.4	2.8	22.3	122.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.0%

NYK +6.3%

NYK +2.8%

NYK +7.3%

MIL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.4	108.5	95.7	104.1
season	16.2	14.7		107.9	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	16.4	15.8	18.9	16.0
MIL	16.8	14.2	14.8	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	78	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	1	12	16.3	14.6	1.67	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Pablo Prigioni	55	53	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	3	8	17.2	14.3	2.91	13.8	16.5	-2.68
Carmelo Anthony	61	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	1	12	14.5	18.8	-4.33	15.3	14.2	1.11
Tyson Chandler	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.14	16	-2	18	14.6	17.9	-3.31	15.7	13.8	1.88
Raymond Felton	64	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	2	10	14.5	19.2	-4.64	15.6	13.6	2.00
Ronnie Brewer	59	58	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	10	-6	16.9	14.5	2.48	15.2	14.5	0.75
Rasheed Wallace	30	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	14	-14	16.9	15.6	1.36	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Chris Copeland	21	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	11	-8	19.0	15.2	3.79	13.3	15.4	-2.04
J.R. Smith	33	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	12	-10	16.8	15.6	1.20	15.3	14.7	0.64
James White	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	16.1	16.0	0.14	12.9	15.1	-2.26
Kurt Thomas	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	18	-22	16.6	16.0	0.61	15.7	14.9	0.83

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-18	22	15.7	14.6	1.09	15.5	16.2	-0.76
Beno Udrih	48	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-16	18	14.3	15.6	-1.28	16.8	15.2	1.68
Tobias Harris	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	14.7	15.0	-0.31	14.9	16.3	-1.35
John Henson	23	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	16.6	14.4	2.16	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Mike Dunleavy	46	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-15	16	14.0	15.9	-1.85	17.1	15.0	2.07
Larry Sanders	26	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-6	-2	16.8	14.2	2.65	14.2	16.7	-2.56
Marquis Daniels	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-7	0	14.5	15.4	-0.85	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Ekpe Udoh	43	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-12	10	13.8	15.9	-2.08	17.9	14.3	3.57
Samuel Dalembert	29	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-4	-6	15.1	14.9	0.28	16.2	15.9	0.23
Doron Lamb	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-8	2	14.0	15.9	-1.89	16.3	15.7	0.57
Monta Ellis	52	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-3	-8	15.7	14.0	1.63	14.7	17.7	-3.03
Brandon Jennings	55	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.13	-24	10	-34	15.6	13.9	1.72	15.8	16.3	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 106, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAS 118, WAS 92	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CHH 86, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.2%