NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	118		Excitement	3.4 [1147]		MVP	Tiago Splitter (SAS): +13.4%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	1.5 [999]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -5.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.02	0.06	7	89%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	6	92%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	84%	0.16	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	58%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	19	47%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.12	16	59%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	25.0	15.4	24.3	1.5	24.6	116.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +51.9%

SAS +2.3%

WAS -1.9%

WAS -3.7%

SAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.4	126.9	97.9	104.1
season	15.2	15.1		106.4	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.2	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	17.1	14.1	16.8	15.9
WAS	14.1	16.4	15.3	13.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tiago Splitter	44	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	-1	28	15.0	16.6	-1.55	15.8	14.0	1.76
Manu Ginobili	39	40	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.20	23	3	20	15.1	16.4	-1.26	15.9	14.1	1.81
Gary Neal	51	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	6	14	15.8	16.0	-0.17	15.5	14.1	1.47
Boris Diaw	44	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	8	10	15.0	16.6	-1.63	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Patty Mills	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	6	14	15.0	16.5	-1.47	14.6	15.1	-0.57
Tony Parker	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	16	-6	15.3	16.3	-1.03	14.9	14.9	0.01
Tim Duncan	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	21	-16	16.2	15.5	0.71	15.3	14.5	0.74
DeJuan Blair	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	26	-26	17.3	15.1	2.17	13.6	15.5	-1.85
Matt Bonner	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.18	7	19	-12	15.7	15.9	-0.17	14.3	15.2	-0.82
Nando De Colo	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	21	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.18	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Cory Joseph	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	18.3	15.3	2.98	14.4	15.0	-0.65
James Anderson	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	18.8	15.4	3.38	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Danny Green	32	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	31	-36	16.8	15.4	1.40	14.7	15.0	-0.20

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	15	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-28	30	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.2	16.0	-0.76
Cartier Martin	37	36	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.13	-4	-22	18	14.1	15.4	-1.23	15.6	16.0	-0.45
Earl Barron	33	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	-14	2	14.3	15.2	-0.89	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Trevor Ariza	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-18	10	14.3	15.2	-0.92	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Jordan Crawford	42	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.28	-16	-10	-6	15.5	14.4	1.16	14.4	17.0	-2.61
Chris Singleton	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	-14	2	15.2	14.7	0.46	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Bradley Beal	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-17	8	14.9	14.9	0.03	17.1	14.0	3.13
Kevin Seraphin	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-10	-6	14.9	14.8	0.15	16.1	15.3	0.88
Emeka Okafor	45	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-12	-2	14.9	14.9	0.05	16.3	15.5	0.78
Martell Webster	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	-3	-20	15.3	14.4	0.88	15.0	16.8	-1.82
A.J. Price	63	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	-8	-10	14.9	14.9	-0.03	16.7	14.1	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, MIL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CHH 86, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.0%
WAS 106, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%