NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	3.1 [1185]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +13.4%
Orlando Magic	84		Comeback	1.5 [896]		LVP	Nate Robinson (CHI): -9.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	8	87%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	9	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	11	82%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.06	15	73%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	17	49%	-0.03	1	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	52%	0.02	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.01
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.2	16.4	28.2	1.7	28.3	128.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +49.9%

CHI +0.8%

ORL -3.5%

CHI +3.2%

ORL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	16.0	15.4	115.9	95.5	104.1
season	16.6	15.5		101.7	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	15.7	17.9	17.6	16.7
ORL	17.2	17.0	14.8	15.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	57	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.35	32	-14	46	17.0	16.2	0.77	16.8	14.7	2.04
Kirk Hinrich	61	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.26	29	-11	40	16.8	16.6	0.20	16.3	15.4	0.99
Luol Deng	54	56	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.22	25	-7	32	17.4	15.6	1.75	16.8	14.7	2.02
Jimmy Butler	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	3	12	16.7	16.8	-0.18	16.4	14.8	1.58
Nate Robinson	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	11	-4	16.2	17.4	-1.22	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Marco Belinelli	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.10	9	9	0	17.4	16.2	1.20	16.2	15.9	0.35
Taj Gibson	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	16	-14	16.5	16.9	-0.37	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Nazr Mohammed	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	14.8	16.8	-2.01	11.0	16.3	-5.27
Malcolm Thomas	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	14.8	16.8	-2.01	11.0	16.3	-5.27
Daequan Cook	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	14.6	16.9	-2.28	11.0	16.5	-5.47
Richard Hamilton	23	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.18	-9	27	-36	16.5	16.8	-0.23	16.6	15.8	0.78
Joakim Noah	26	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	29	-40	16.5	16.8	-0.33	15.3	16.4	-1.12

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-23	28	14.6	16.6	-2.01	17.9	16.2	1.71
Kyle O'Quinn	42	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-20	22	15.6	16.4	-0.79	16.2	17.1	-0.87
DeQuan Jones	20	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-16	14	16.8	15.8	1.06	15.9	16.9	-0.95
Doron Lamb	56	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-11	4	15.8	16.4	-0.58	16.1	17.6	-1.46
E'Twaun Moore	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-4	-10	17.1	14.8	2.31	16.9	16.4	0.48
Beno Udrih	43	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	-1	-16	15.9	16.2	-0.25	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Tobias Harris	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-4	-10	15.7	17.9	-2.25	16.7	16.4	0.31
Maurice Harkless	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	0	-18	15.6	18.3	-2.67	17.0	15.1	1.90
Nikola Vucevic	56	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.21	-25	7	-32	17.1	14.1	3.00	16.8	16.5	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 86, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.8%
WAS 106, POR 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
MIA 98, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%