inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement3.2 [1155] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +16.3%
Charlotte Bobcats 85 Comeback1.8 [782] LVPMichael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -19.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.150.040.031865%0.222-0.061090%0.03
Chris Bosh0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.01-0.04757%0.0900.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01767%0.0700.004100%0.02
Norris Cole0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.01757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01750%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Ray Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00667%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Shane Battier0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.001647%0.002-0.03475%0.00
James Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01625%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.010.021365%0.1100.00580%0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.17-0.000.10889%0.0600.003100%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03768%0.052-0.03580%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.04-0.00-0.05530%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Anthony Tolliver00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
DJ White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.03954%-0.012-0.01683%0.01
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01637%-0.031-0.01450%-0.03
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.000.02845%-0.042-0.024100%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.16-0.04-0.01619%-0.104-0.09425%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.34.433.317.830.10.232.0145.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.6%
MIA +8.1%
MIA +3.7%
MIA +4.8%
MIA +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game16.615.415.1107.795.5105.2
season15.615.7109.7102.4
opponent15.115.8103.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.713.916.920.016.6
CHA15.015.519.112.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James69680.450.050.41-0.1320-72716.018.5-2.5915.614.61.03
James Jones30290.410.090.31-0.0616-31917.116.30.7714.515.8-1.32
Dwyane Wade64650.380.120.260.031211116.217.5-1.3315.914.01.92
Chris Bosh62620.370.130.240.05112916.317.2-0.9216.313.42.92
Mario Chalmers52500.360.140.23-0.0514-11516.816.30.4415.814.90.86
Norris Cole56550.330.170.160.2149-516.516.7-0.1214.816.4-1.63
Chris Andersen42400.180.32-0.150.21-114-1516.816.40.3315.015.7-0.73
Udonis Haslem26260.020.48-0.450.05-114-1517.316.31.0214.715.7-1.01
Rashard Lewis11110.010.49-0.49-0.02112-1112.717.1-4.3917.315.12.13
Shane Battier430.000.50-0.500.06-215-1724.516.28.286.715.7-9.04
Toney Douglas430.000.50-0.500.06-215-1724.516.28.286.715.7-9.04
Ray Allen3533-0.010.51-0.520.19-720-2717.116.30.7715.515.40.13

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Ridnour32340.06-0.560.61-0.2711-243514.915.7-0.7817.516.01.46
Jannero Pargo450.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.515.7-6.1824.216.18.06
DJ White440.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.515.7-6.1824.516.28.28
Bismack Biyombo1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-212912.215.9-3.7220.415.94.46
Cody Zeller3030-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-11915.715.30.4515.916.9-0.97
Gary Neal5152-0.11-0.390.29-0.255-182314.816.2-1.4517.715.12.68
Chris Douglas-Roberts4445-0.15-0.350.20-0.212-151715.115.7-0.6218.215.03.11
Anthony Tolliver66-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-6-112.315.6-3.2913.716.8-3.12
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist4042-0.25-0.25-0.000.10-12-1-1116.314.71.5815.317.7-2.45
Josh McRoberts6870-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.10-7-6-115.714.41.3417.015.21.75
Al Jefferson5758-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-207-2716.313.72.5815.318.9-3.60
Gerald Henderson4343-0.49-0.01-0.490.12-218-2915.715.20.4814.818.1-3.31
Kemba Walker5352-0.560.06-0.610.21-2613-3916.214.31.8515.218.4-3.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 124, UTA 1110.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
NOP 100, CLE 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
CHI 102, ORL 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%