NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	129		Excitement	4.1 [984]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +21.6%
Brooklyn Nets	109		Comeback	1.2 [925]		LVP	Joe Harris (BKN): -6.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.05	0.02	19	80%	0.27	5	-0.05	3	100%	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	12	70%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Noah Vonleh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Quarterman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	9	89%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	14	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	11	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	9	15%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	26.4	14.5	26.4	2.4	32.6	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +59.0%

BKN -11.0%

POR +2.5%

BKN -1.1%

POR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BKN	NBA	POR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.0	13.6	14.8	127.7	109.0	107.7
season	14.9	13.7		108.6	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	15.3	14.3	15.2	15.0
BKN	14.6	13.5	13.9	12.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-7	34	15.7	13.7	2.03	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Damian Lillard	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	7	6	14.5	15.8	-1.36	14.0	13.0	1.03
Meyers Leonard	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	1	18	15.1	14.9	0.23	14.0	13.2	0.85
Mason Plumlee	51	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	2	16	15.3	14.8	0.47	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Maurice Harkless	47	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	11	-2	14.5	15.5	-0.99	13.6	13.6	0.05
Noah Vonleh	31	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	13	-6	14.9	15.1	-0.15	14.5	13.3	1.23
Evan Turner	62	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	16	-12	15.0	15.1	-0.06	14.0	12.9	1.07
Allen Crabbe	61	60	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	14	-8	15.2	14.8	0.40	13.9	13.2	0.64
Ed Davis	40	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	24	-28	15.4	14.8	0.60	13.3	13.8	-0.48
Pat Connaughton	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	14.1	15.1	-0.96	10.7	13.8	-3.13
Jake Layman	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	14.4	15.1	-0.65	10.6	13.9	-3.24
Tim Quarterman	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	13.0	15.2	-2.17	10.7	13.8	-3.13
Shabazz Napier	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	14.9	15.1	-0.15	11.3	13.9	-2.63

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	11.0	14.0	-3.00	14.8	15.1	-0.22
Yogi Ferrell	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.16	-9	-11	2	14.0	13.5	0.56	16.1	14.7	1.37
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	53	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-20	20	12.5	14.9	-2.42	15.3	14.7	0.63
Randy Foye	23	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-15	10	15.6	13.0	2.54	14.4	15.2	-0.85
Trevor Booker	52	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-16	12	13.9	13.3	0.65	14.9	15.2	-0.25
Isaiah Whitehead	54	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-14	8	12.6	14.8	-2.21	14.9	15.2	-0.36
Luis Scola	28	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-12	4	13.4	13.7	-0.30	15.5	14.9	0.64
Joe Harris	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-8	-4	13.8	13.3	0.52	14.1	16.3	-2.27
Bojan Bogdanovic	47	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-8	-4	13.3	13.9	-0.55	16.3	13.8	2.42
Brook Lopez	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.19	-16	-4	-12	13.4	13.9	-0.47	15.2	14.9	0.31
Justin Hamilton	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-5	-10	14.4	13.0	1.41	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Sean Kilpatrick	42	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-4	-12	15.1	12.6	2.52	14.5	15.4	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
VAN 116, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
MEM 113, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%