NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	2.6 [1180]		MVP	Lucious Harris (PHI): +15.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.8 [833]		LVP	David Wesley (BOS): -12.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.01	0.06	30	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Brett Szabo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	100%	-0.00
Alton Lister	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Eric Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	54%	0.02	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Todd Day	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	10	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.13	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.01	0.12	15	63%	-0.07	4	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.01	-0.05	14	63%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	11	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	61%	-0.01	3	-0.02	13	85%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	-0.12	16	45%	0.00	5	-0.03	8	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.2	22.5	15.4	28.4	0.6	27.8	117.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.8%

PHI +5.0%

PHI +5.6%

PHI +13.8%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.1	15.0	15.6	101.9	110.8	104.4
season	14.8	14.7		101.8	101.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		108.4	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	15.2	13.6	10.7	13.1
PHI	13.3	13.6	14.1	19.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	33	33	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-10	12	12.4	13.5	-1.09	13.5	15.7	-2.11
Alton Lister	16	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	1	-10	15.7	12.7	3.02	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Michael Hawkins	19	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-5	2	13.2	13.1	0.03	13.3	15.4	-2.12
Todd Day	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.53	11	-19	30	11.9	14.4	-2.49	16.4	13.4	3.01
Antoine Walker	93	92	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-11	14	13.1	13.9	-0.85	14.9	15.4	-0.48
David Wesley	79	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	0	-8	13.5	11.8	1.70	15.4	13.8	1.55
Eric Williams	85	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	4	-16	13.2	12.9	0.30	15.3	13.3	2.06
Marty Conlon	40	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	4	-16	13.0	13.2	-0.22	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Rick Fox	75	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	10	-28	13.5	12.2	1.31	14.3	16.4	-2.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	64	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	2	4	15.5	14.0	1.55	13.1	13.1	0.01
Allen Iverson	96	97	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-9	26	15.2	12.0	3.16	13.2	11.5	1.74
Mark Davis	42	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-1	10	16.8	13.7	3.05	12.9	13.3	-0.47
Clar. Weatherspoon	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-6	20	15.0	14.7	0.32	13.8	10.5	3.28
Derrick Coleman	78	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	7	-6	14.0	18.2	-4.29	13.6	11.5	2.08
Michael Cage	9	8	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	2	4	13.3	15.1	-1.80	15.2	13.0	2.29
Scott Williams	48	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	1	6	13.9	16.0	-2.11	12.8	13.5	-0.68
Jerry Stackhouse	86	86	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.42	-11	19	-30	15.3	13.1	2.19	12.2	17.8	-5.61
Doug Overton	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.23	-9	17	-26	12.0	15.2	-3.16	11.5	13.2	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHI 91, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 96, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%