NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	3.9 [1009]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +8.3%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.6 [790]		LVP	Christian Laettner (DET): -9.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.00	0.06	10	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	16	51%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	45%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	11	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.05	-0.08	14	65%	0.16	6	-0.07	12	92%	0.02
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	14	50%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	78%	0.04	3	-0.05	11	73%	-0.02
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	16	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	14	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	30.4	15.5	28.5	2.7	33.2	135.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +35.4%

DET +8.0%

DET +12.5%

PHI -7.7%

DET +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	15.2	88.3	102.0	101.7
season	15.0	14.1		99.5	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.0	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	13.2	15.1	13.3	14.0
DET	12.4	12.9	13.7	18.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-18	23	13.2	14.1	-0.85	15.7	13.8	1.89
Larry Hughes	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-21	29	13.4	14.5	-1.15	15.7	12.5	3.20
Bruce Bowen	15	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-11	9	13.7	14.0	-0.28	15.5	13.9	1.53
Billy Owens	54	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-22	31	13.1	14.9	-1.85	15.3	12.7	2.60
Theo Ratliff	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-1	-11	14.7	13.7	1.08	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Aaron McKie	70	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-17	21	13.2	15.5	-2.32	15.2	11.9	3.28
Matt Geiger	70	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-14	15	13.4	15.1	-1.69	15.3	11.8	3.46
George Lynch	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-2	-9	14.5	13.2	1.26	14.3	13.9	0.38
Eric Snow	39	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.23	-21	8	-29	14.7	13.5	1.12	11.4	15.9	-4.40
Tyrone Hill	52	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.26	-24	11	-35	15.2	12.7	2.43	12.0	16.3	-4.34
Allen Iverson	59	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	9	-31	14.6	13.1	1.50	12.4	16.4	-4.03

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	89	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-4	21	14.2	13.5	0.68	14.2	12.2	2.03
Michael Curry	36	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-3	19	13.1	14.7	-1.66	14.1	13.9	0.13
Grant Hill	84	86	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	4	5	15.0	10.2	4.81	14.1	13.5	0.60
Jerome Williams	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	5	3	14.7	13.3	1.44	13.7	14.4	-0.69
Loy Vaught	18	18	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	1	11	13.6	14.2	-0.63	14.4	13.9	0.57
Jerry Stackhouse	87	88	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	14	-15	14.1	14.5	-0.40	13.7	15.3	-1.52
Christian Laettner	78	78	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	11	-9	14.0	14.5	-0.54	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Terry Mills	47	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	11	-9	13.8	14.4	-0.63	14.5	13.5	1.07
John Crotty	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	13	-13	10.6	14.5	-3.91	11.0	14.3	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHI 102, SAC 129	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
BOS 105, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%