NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	2.6 [1245]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (POR): +8.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.6 [934]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -9.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.06	4	87%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	14	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	8	41%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	11	37%	-0.04	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	8	29%	-0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.06	11	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.02	13	74%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	69%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	33%	0.00	2	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.5	26.3	14.7	24.2	1.7	26.3	122.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.5%

UTA -0.6%

UTA -2.1%

POR +16.0%

UTA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	18.5	15.4	15.5	98.8	114.9	104.0
season	16.7	15.8		102.3	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.1		105.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	21.7	19.9	17.0	18.5
POR	14.2	13.6	16.1	18.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	41	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-17	16	17.5	19.5	-2.04	15.5	15.3	0.22
Keith McLeod	40	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-6	-6	18.0	19.0	-1.00	15.8	15.1	0.63
Randy Livingston	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-14	10	19.7	18.0	1.71	17.6	14.5	3.05
Ben Handlogten	30	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-8	-2	21.6	16.8	4.77	17.4	14.4	3.03
Gordan Giricek	33	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-7	-4	19.2	18.0	1.20	15.7	15.3	0.42
Kirk Snyder	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-11	4	18.0	19.2	-1.20	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Matt Harpring	49	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.16	-16	-2	-14	17.4	20.1	-2.76	14.6	16.7	-2.08
Mehmet Okur	51	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-5	-8	18.6	18.3	0.33	14.3	17.4	-3.10
Howard Eisley	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-12	6	19.0	18.0	1.00	15.1	15.8	-0.63
Kris Humphries	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-8	-2	17.9	19.5	-1.59	15.2	15.9	-0.70

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	57	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.19	24	-6	30	15.2	15.9	-0.71	19.8	16.3	3.47
Darius Miles	52	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	6	6	15.5	15.3	0.20	18.6	18.4	0.16
Damon Stoudamire	82	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	7	4	15.7	10.6	5.13	18.7	16.3	2.35
Joel Przybilla	49	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	2	14	16.4	14.2	2.27	20.3	16.1	4.16
Travis Outlaw	48	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	10	-2	16.0	14.8	1.21	18.1	19.1	-1.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	54	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	11	-4	15.8	14.8	1.00	17.5	20.3	-2.78
Sebastian Telfair	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	9	0	16.1	15.0	1.09	19.1	18.1	0.98
Richie Frahm	20	19	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	10	-2	10.5	16.9	-6.41	16.5	19.1	-2.58
Viktor Khryapa	29	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	20	-22	14.8	15.8	-1.02	17.2	19.1	-1.87
Ha Seung-Jin	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	13.9	15.6	-1.73	13.4	19.1	-5.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 89, TOR 125	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIL 86, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%