inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 82 Excitement3.5 [1133] MVPAustin Croshere (IND): +5.1%
Indiana Pacers 106 Comeback1.4 [1003] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -12.5%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01367%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.010,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021848%0.011-0.02667%-0.01
Eric Snow-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05425%-0.022-0.0000%0.00
Ira Newble-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.03437%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.001444%-0.041-0.01683%-0.00
Robert Traylor-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00948%-0.043-0.04367%-0.00
Jeff McInnis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.011025%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
LeBron James-0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.010.002539%-0.092-0.03475%-0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.020.01571%0.0500.004100%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00583%0.062-0.032100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.15-0.000.121967%0.0200.00475%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01475%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.01462%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.03-0.00-0.04636%0.0100.002100%0.01
Eddie Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.03-0.00-0.04750%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.04650%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
David Harrison0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.02557%-0.0200.00450%-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.051649%0.003-0.05944%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.333.016.025.23.531.3138.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +45.6%
CLE -1.4%
CLE -5.2%
IND +10.0%
IND +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEINDNBACLEINDNBA
this game16.316.615.595.3119.1104.0
season16.216.8104.6101.9
opponent15.515.3101.6103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.616.215.516.116.3
IND16.716.516.416.616.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic670.00-0.500.500.09-3-211811.216.7-5.5617.016.50.46
Jiri Welsch89-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-232214.116.6-2.4422.815.96.90
Eric Snow4243-0.10-0.400.290.07-6-181215.017.6-2.6117.915.32.58
DeSagana Diop1617-0.15-0.350.200.23-13-11-214.016.9-2.8718.916.02.85
Lucious Harris1313-0.19-0.310.130.08-9-15619.815.74.1321.315.85.54
Drew Gooden5151-0.24-0.260.010.14-13-11-216.715.80.9116.117.2-1.07
Robert Traylor3538-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-11-13215.816.7-0.9117.216.11.07
LeBron James7275-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-11-13216.714.71.9416.318.2-1.95
Zydrunas Ilgauskas7072-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-13216.914.02.8716.018.9-2.85
Jeff McInnis5355-0.40-0.10-0.290.31-240-2416.715.71.0415.318.7-3.40
Ira Newble6465-0.46-0.04-0.410.07-18-6-1216.615.60.9415.320.0-4.75

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal63620.390.110.28-0.141861215.818.4-2.5617.912.45.50
Fred Jones43410.370.130.24-0.10168817.715.62.0915.916.8-0.88
Anthony Johnson57560.310.190.12-0.16168815.618.4-2.8117.713.74.00
Scot Pollard41400.300.200.10-0.201771017.016.20.7515.317.2-1.89
Austin Croshere32310.290.210.09-0.091311217.616.01.6416.016.5-0.53
James Jones24240.260.240.03-0.091212018.615.82.7515.116.8-1.68
Stephen Jackson68640.240.26-0.03-0.121212016.018.5-2.4916.715.41.25
Eddie Gill32300.190.31-0.12-0.05816-818.415.62.8113.717.7-4.00
Reggie Miller43430.130.37-0.24-0.11816-815.317.8-2.4617.015.71.28
David Harrison42390.020.48-0.460.02024-2416.516.6-0.1415.217.3-2.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 82, POR 1000.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
LAL 83, DEN 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
PHI 89, TOR 1250.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%