NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	2.8 [1242]		MVP	Trey Burke (UTA): +13.9%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.4 [833]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (POR): -5.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	8	106%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	-0.00	0.11	26	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Montero	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.10	11	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	19	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	16	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.06	19	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Elijah Millsap	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tibor Pleiss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	78%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	26.4	14.8	28.1	1.8	24.3	120.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.6%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +1.7%

UTA +19.6%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	18.6	14.9	115.7	128.2	105.1
season	15.0	16.3		107.1	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.6		102.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	16.3	14.2	16.8	15.7
UTA	19.2	17.2	16.4	22.0	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	14.5	15.8	-1.26	21.6	18.4	3.24
Luis Montero	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	14.5	15.8	-1.26	21.6	18.4	3.24
Noah Vonleh	33	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-16	19	14.1	16.8	-2.72	18.9	18.3	0.57
Gerald Henderson	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-9	5	20.1	15.0	5.13	19.9	18.3	1.59
Tim Frazier	38	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-15	17	16.3	15.2	1.09	19.1	18.0	1.10
Mason Plumlee	38	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.25	-17	4	-21	14.7	16.6	-1.87	17.5	19.4	-1.84
Ed Davis	15	16	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-3	-7	18.4	15.1	3.30	18.9	18.5	0.40
Al-Farouq Aminu	47	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-1	-11	14.9	16.7	-1.86	19.2	17.8	1.45
CJ McCollum	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	15.4	17.3	-1.91	18.2	20.2	-1.98
Meyers Leonard	55	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-15	17	16.3	14.6	1.70	19.3	17.1	2.16
Maurice Harkless	37	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	2	-17	17.2	14.5	2.74	17.7	19.2	-1.55
Allen Crabbe	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	2	-17	15.0	17.7	-2.70	17.5	21.4	-3.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	52	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.29	27	-14	41	19.2	17.5	1.70	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Jeff Withey	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-6	25	18.4	18.9	-0.45	15.6	15.9	-0.29
Trey Burke	50	49	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	1	11	18.8	18.2	0.60	16.8	14.1	2.63
Trey Lyles	57	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	0	13	18.9	17.9	0.93	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Joe Ingles	28	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	3	7	18.8	18.4	0.35	17.4	14.8	2.58
Trevor Booker	46	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	9	-5	18.4	18.7	-0.26	16.3	15.0	1.25
Gordon Hayward	61	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	17.7	20.7	-2.95	15.3	16.6	-1.30
Raul Neto	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	12	-11	18.2	18.8	-0.60	14.1	16.8	-2.63
Elijah Millsap	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	22.3	18.4	3.92	16.3	15.7	0.66
Tibor Pleiss	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	22.3	18.4	3.92	16.3	15.7	0.66
Chris Johnson	29	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.43	-15	28	-43	18.0	18.9	-0.89	14.7	16.2	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHA 104, PHX 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 75, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%