NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	104		Excitement	2.7 [1235]		MVP	Sebastian Telfair (PHX): +10.9%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	1.2 [874]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -10.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.16	0.01	0.11	14	69%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Byron Mullens	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.00	0.11	14	75%	0.07	3	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.06	12	62%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	6	92%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.23	-0.00	0.16	16	79%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	13	75%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	12	77%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luke Zeller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	33.1	15.7	23.0	1.8	26.2	125.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.7%

PHX +1.6%

CHA -8.3%

PHX +16.7%

CHA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.4	113.0	130.1	104.1
season	15.6	15.2		99.9	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.5	16.3	15.8	13.1	15.7
PHX	13.8	13.1	15.5	19.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-15	13	15.4	16.0	-0.51	16.8	14.3	2.46
Jeff Taylor	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-15	13	15.2	16.3	-1.11	17.0	13.7	3.27
Brendan Haywood	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-16	15	16.4	15.2	1.17	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-18	19	15.3	17.1	-1.80	15.9	13.8	2.15
Bismack Biyombo	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-3	-11	16.0	15.5	0.43	14.3	16.2	-1.89
Kemba Walker	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-16	15	14.9	18.8	-3.84	15.9	13.5	2.42
Ramon Sessions	35	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.31	-22	5	-27	17.7	14.5	3.14	12.8	17.0	-4.18
Byron Mullens	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.38	-25	8	-33	15.8	15.5	0.26	15.3	16.0	-0.75
Gerald Henderson	39	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	2	-21	16.2	15.4	0.81	14.3	16.2	-1.93

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	29	29	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	8	1	13.8	16.1	-2.28	15.8	15.7	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	16	16	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	2	13	12.7	16.0	-3.27	16.9	15.5	1.37
Sebastian Telfair	30	28	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	11	-5	13.4	16.3	-2.95	16.0	15.6	0.43
Michael Beasley	30	28	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	11	-5	13.4	16.3	-2.95	16.0	15.6	0.43
Markieff Morris	24	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	11	-5	12.7	16.3	-3.57	17.6	15.1	2.55
Luis Scola	68	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	4	9	16.3	13.0	3.22	15.1	17.6	-2.55
Goran Dragic	63	64	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	6	5	16.3	13.4	2.95	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Jared Dudley	63	63	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	6	5	16.3	13.4	2.95	15.7	15.8	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	77	76	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	15	-13	16.0	12.7	3.27	15.5	16.9	-1.37
Shannon Brown	64	64	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	9	-1	16.1	13.8	2.28	15.6	16.0	-0.43
Luke Zeller	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.0	15.3	4.65	0.0	15.7	-15.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
TOR 75, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ATL 71, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%