inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 75 Excitement8.5 [164] MVPDerek Harper (DAL): +8.7%
Dallas Mavericks 72 Comeback6.2 [271] LVPBobby Phills (CLE): -36.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrone Hill0.050,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.01,0.05,-0.09,0.05-0.020.06-0.011460%0.233-0.191267%-0.06
Danny Ferry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13,0.04,0.04-0.010.060.011942%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mark West0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.001100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Lang0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Mills-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.08-0.011534%-0.141-0.012100%0.01
Bob Sura-0.190,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.11-0.080.001135%-0.142-0.04475%-0.00
Bobby Phills-0.360,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36-0.20-0.150.002028%-0.302-0.06650%-0.06

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.001357%0.121-0.032100%0.01
Michael Finley0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.030.03-0.030.03-0.021750%0.041-0.011090%0.05
A.C. Green0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01471%0.031-0.03667%-0.04
Greg Dreiling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Stevin Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Martin Muursepp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jamie Watson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.01617%-0.053-0.1000%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.05-0.160.001033%-0.2000.001100%0.01
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.31-0.31-0.08-0.220.011736%-0.281-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.423.215.828.01.838.2131.8
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +27.6%
DAL -9.8%
CLE +38.8%
DAL -5.9%
DAL -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDALNBACLEDALNBA
this game19.915.915.693.888.9104.4
season17.815.9102.199.1
opponent15.716.1105.5100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE22.521.718.617.719.9
DAL22.515.313.514.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrone Hill70700.72-0.220.940.498-51319.820.1-0.2616.015.50.55
Bob Sura70700.50-0.000.500.4421119.324.1-4.8315.916.4-0.51
Chris Mills72730.480.020.460.3930319.919.90.0016.014.91.17
Danny Ferry68700.460.040.430.3830320.615.65.0516.015.30.76
Bobby Phills75770.440.060.390.3821120.313.46.9115.719.5-3.76
Reggie Geary15150.060.44-0.39-0.0021120.519.70.8117.215.61.56
Antonio Lang880.020.48-0.460.0203-319.919.9-0.0014.916.0-1.17
Mark West2222-0.180.68-0.87-0.04-58-1317.620.7-3.0915.416.1-0.77

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stevin Smith440.04-0.540.580.011-4518.015.82.1830.519.311.18
Greg Dreiling55-0.06-0.440.380.03-30-319.015.73.2813.420.3-6.91
Jamie Watson4241-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-3316.715.11.5421.917.84.06
Samaki Walker1313-0.08-0.420.350.01-30-316.115.90.1816.220.6-4.44
Martin Muursepp55-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-30-317.615.81.7814.420.2-5.84
Shawn Bradley7170-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.433-6915.618.3-2.7120.713.96.83
Robert Pack4949-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.38-1-2115.217.1-1.9318.222.5-4.26
A.C. Green6867-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.420-3315.916.1-0.1820.616.24.44
Michael Finley8180-0.500.00-0.50-0.41-30-315.90.015.9319.90.019.87
Derek Harper6766-0.560.06-0.62-0.38-63-915.916.1-0.1819.222.9-3.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.59,0.77,0.7,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.35,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 87, CLE 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.58,090.8%
TOR 96, BOS 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.54,0.45,0.42,090.5%
CHI 93, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.28,090.3%