NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	7.8 [279]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): +31.2%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	3.5 [243]		LVP	Marvin Williams (UTA): -14.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.31	0.04	0.28	0.01	15	50%	0.31	0	0.00	8	87%	0.06
Taj Gibson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	9	78%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.01	8	55%	0.12	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.07
Marquis Teague	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	47%	0.01	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	17	53%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.11	-0.00	8	56%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.05	0.02	22	65%	0.23	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	14	64%	0.17	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	52%	0.02	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	6	21%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.8	28.2	16.7	24.3	3.4	39.5	141.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -13.8%

CHI +41.3%

CHI +28.7%

CHI +3.6%

UTA -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	17.2	17.9	15.4	113.4	108.5	104.1
season	16.6	16.0		101.7	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.2		105.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	18.8	20.9	15.1	17.2
UTA	17.0	18.1	18.1	18.5	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	45	47	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-6	16	18.2	16.1	2.12	18.7	16.8	1.97
Joakim Noah	60	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.57	1	3	-2	16.6	18.9	-2.31	17.2	19.6	-2.37
Nate Robinson	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-2	8	17.1	19.7	-2.54	17.6	30.0	-12.40
Luol Deng	62	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.56	-1	5	-6	16.4	19.7	-3.28	17.6	18.8	-1.16
Carlos Boozer	51	53	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-2	8	17.7	16.4	1.39	19.1	15.8	3.32
Jimmy Butler	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	-2	8	16.6	17.5	-0.84	17.1	18.2	-1.10
Marquis Teague	3	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	6	-8	19.7	17.1	2.54	30.0	17.6	12.40
Richard Hamilton	33	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	17.8	16.8	1.05	17.8	18.0	-0.15
Taj Gibson	53	52	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.18	-1	5	-6	17.4	16.9	0.55	17.5	18.7	-1.21

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	39	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	1	-6	18.6	17.3	1.36	18.0	16.5	1.45
Jamaal Tinsley	55	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	18.9	15.9	3.00	17.3	17.1	0.18
Enes Kanter	12	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	4	-12	18.5	17.8	0.70	18.2	17.1	1.11
Al Jefferson	70	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.38	6	-10	16	17.8	18.5	-0.70	17.1	18.2	-1.11
DeMarre Carroll	25	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	9	-22	19.7	17.1	2.61	17.6	17.1	0.57
Randy Foye	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-9	14	17.1	21.9	-4.78	17.3	16.8	0.54
Marvin Williams	52	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-10	16	17.0	19.5	-2.47	16.9	17.8	-0.89
Paul Millsap	47	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.55	2	-6	8	17.4	18.5	-1.12	16.8	17.8	-0.98
Alec Burks	41	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	5	-14	17.8	18.0	-0.29	16.9	17.5	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.42,0	92.5%
TOR 99, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.08,0	91.8%
LAC 97, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.23,0.02,0	91.0%