NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	9.6 [73]		MVP	Darius Miles (LAC): +1.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	79		Comeback	5.9 [129]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -43.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.19,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.02	-0.12	0.10	0.00	25	43%	0.11	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Moiso	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Bryant Stith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08,-0.22,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.02	0.01	27	49%	0.18	6	-0.27	5	40%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	7	70%	-0.02	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	9	35%	-0.08	1	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	8	37%	-0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	12	27%	-0.20	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.07
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.44	-0.44	-0.15	-0.28	0.00	17	47%	-0.17	6	-0.26	9	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	340.7	2.4	29.5	15.5	28.4	2.5	36.2	455.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +97.6%

LAC -16.9%

LAC -16.6%

LAC -14.5%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.8	15.5	90.1	86.8	100.9
season	15.1	16.1		99.7	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	14.5	18.1	13.3	14.8
LAC	14.4	19.1	16.1	18.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	40	40	1.02	-0.52	1.55	0.64	13	-10	23	13.2	16.1	-2.94	15.8	17.6	-1.74
Eric Williams	51	49	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-9	21	15.3	14.3	0.93	17.9	15.5	2.33
Paul Pierce	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-5	13	14.3	18.8	-4.52	17.6	11.7	5.82
Antoine Walker	81	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-2	7	14.7	16.2	-1.52	16.3	21.8	-5.52
Randy Brown	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-2	7	14.4	16.8	-2.43	16.9	16.2	0.67
Jerome Moiso	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	5	-7	14.8	14.9	-0.06	20.1	16.2	3.95
Milt Palacio	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	16.8	14.4	2.43	16.2	16.9	-0.67
Vitaly Potapenko	45	44	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.12	-11	14	-25	16.9	12.8	4.13	18.1	15.6	2.54
Bryant Stith	52	56	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.17	-13	16	-29	15.0	14.6	0.40	14.4	20.6	-6.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	14	15	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.06	9	-12	21	18.6	16.5	2.09	18.4	14.1	4.26
Quentin Richardson	49	47	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.09	-1	-2	1	17.9	15.5	2.33	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Sean Rooks	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	15.0	17.4	-2.39	16.4	14.3	2.08
Darius Miles	55	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	15.3	19.0	-3.68	15.0	14.7	0.29
Earl Boykins	12	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-2	1	16.4	16.9	-0.44	15.4	14.7	0.69
Eric Piatkowski	41	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-4	5	16.4	17.1	-0.75	14.9	14.8	0.07
Michael Olowokandi	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	3	-9	17.4	15.0	2.39	14.5	15.8	-1.26
Cherokee Parks	38	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	19.1	15.2	3.91	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Lamar Odom	81	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	5	-13	16.3	20.6	-4.27	15.0	13.1	1.93
Jeff McInnis	74	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.50	-8	5	-13	16.5	18.2	-1.76	14.0	17.9	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.28,0	92.5%
TOR 98, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.63,0.57,0.42,0	91.0%
LAC 102, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.45,0.31,0	91.0%