NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	6.9 [433]		MVP	Sedale Threatt (HOU): +29.0%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	2.4 [700]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -22.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sedale Threatt	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.10	0.18	-0.01	8	83%	0.34	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.09	0.01	12	67%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.03	16	68%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	14	47%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	32%	-0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	15	59%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	6	23%	-0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	17	51%	0.07	5	-0.27	5	100%	0.04
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	17	36%	-0.03	7	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.2	14.7	29.2	2.5	26.3	122.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +46.4%

NJN -11.9%

NJN -15.4%

HOU +31.1%

NJN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	13.7	15.8	15.6	100.0	90.8	104.4
season	15.5	15.4		107.2	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		106.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.5	11.8	15.4	13.0	13.7
NJN	13.2	18.2	15.2	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	48	48	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.20	23	-15	38	12.4	14.9	-2.46	17.6	14.2	3.36
Sedale Threatt	42	43	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-10	28	14.1	13.4	0.69	17.8	14.3	3.42
Hakeem Olajuwon	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	13.4	14.6	-1.14	15.9	15.8	0.10
Othella Harrington	34	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	0	8	15.0	13.0	2.08	18.3	14.5	3.79
Kevin Willis	84	85	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	5	-2	13.4	15.8	-2.41	14.8	22.5	-7.71
Mario Elie	70	71	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	12	-16	15.2	9.7	5.46	16.0	15.3	0.71
Clyde Drexler	76	77	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	11	-14	13.1	15.9	-2.84	14.6	20.4	-5.83
Randy Livingston	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	7	-6	12.1	13.9	-1.76	12.2	16.3	-4.06
Matt Maloney	45	45	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	19	-30	13.7	13.7	-0.03	14.8	16.7	-1.89

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	52	54	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.14	11	-19	30	15.2	16.5	-1.27	14.5	12.7	1.77
Eric Montross	65	67	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.18	9	-17	26	16.1	15.3	0.82	14.7	11.5	3.20
Kevin Edwards	20	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-5	2	14.2	16.3	-2.07	13.9	13.6	0.27
Kendall Gill	68	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-14	20	15.5	16.5	-0.99	13.9	13.1	0.86
Kerry Kittles	53	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-1	-6	15.7	16.0	-0.28	14.0	13.3	0.67
Sam Cassell	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.33	-5	-3	-2	16.3	14.2	2.07	13.6	13.9	-0.27
Joe Kleine	33	30	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.09	-17	9	-26	15.3	16.1	-0.82	11.5	14.7	-3.20
Jim Jackson	75	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	7	-22	16.2	14.7	1.56	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Xavier McDaniel	46	43	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.12	-19	11	-30	16.5	15.2	1.27	12.7	14.5	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.03,0,0,0	92.3%
NOH 96, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	92.0%
CLE 109, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0	91.9%