NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	7.7 [267]		MVP	Jiri Welsch (BOS): +16.0%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	2.5 [179]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -28.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	14	69%	0.24	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Baron Davis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05	-0.07	0.04	-0.07	25	48%	0.12	3	-0.07	10	40%	-0.11
Darrell Armstrong	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	80%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Steven Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	15	45%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	6	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	8	89%	0.26	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	3	117%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	11	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	12	33%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.12	-0.01	16	35%	-0.17	3	-0.12	8	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	32.4	15.6	25.2	2.3	40.4	143.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +13.0%

NOH +15.0%

NOH +3.8%

NOH +16.4%

NOH +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	BOS	NBA	NOH	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.7	104.3	101.1	100.5
season	16.0	14.4		99.3	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	18.8	16.1	15.0	16.5
BOS	14.7	16.3	13.9	13.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	86	86	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.49	-1	3	-4	16.4	18.7	-2.27	14.0	22.6	-8.62
Stacey Augmon	30	29	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-4	10	17.0	16.3	0.68	15.5	14.2	1.33
Robert Traylor	26	25	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	-7	16	16.0	16.8	-0.81	15.4	14.3	1.15
P.J. Brown	79	81	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.37	-3	5	-8	16.4	17.5	-1.07	14.1	17.7	-3.61
Darrell Armstrong	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	-7	16	19.6	15.1	4.49	17.4	13.2	4.13
David Wesley	68	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	4	-6	15.4	19.8	-4.39	14.2	15.8	-1.66
George Lynch	67	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.42	-8	10	-18	15.1	20.3	-5.13	13.7	17.2	-3.50
Jamaal Magloire	64	67	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.35	-6	8	-14	17.5	14.4	3.09	15.6	12.1	3.45
David West	10	9	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	-2	6	21.2	16.0	5.22	13.4	14.7	-1.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	40	40	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.06	13	-15	28	15.5	13.9	1.62	17.2	16.1	1.12
Mark Blount	64	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.42	13	-15	28	14.4	15.0	-0.58	17.8	13.4	4.40
Marcus Banks	33	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.4	0.48	18.7	15.5	3.15
Mike James	48	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.56	13	-15	28	14.2	15.0	-0.86	15.5	17.7	-2.21
Ricky Davis	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	13	-28	16.0	13.4	2.57	16.3	16.8	-0.54
Paul Pierce	81	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-4	6	14.0	18.7	-4.76	15.9	20.5	-4.55
Chris Mihm	27	24	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	14	-30	15.9	14.1	1.76	14.4	17.3	-2.88
Jiri Welsch	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-2	2	14.3	15.6	-1.27	16.7	16.0	0.68
Walter McCarty	55	54	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.36	-13	11	-24	13.9	15.6	-1.74	16.2	17.1	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.01,0	92.8%
SAS 104, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0	92.7%
HOU 97, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0	92.0%