NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	6.8 [460]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +46.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	2.9 [545]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -13.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46	0.27	0.21	0.02	13	91%	0.54	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Jeff Ayres	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	4	80%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nando De Colo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1	0.07	0.06	0.02	11	58%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cory Joseph	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	68%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.06	5	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	13	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.04	21	59%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.00	19	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.02	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	19	50%	0.01	4	-0.14	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.6	28.0	14.8	25.0	1.8	38.0	131.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +43.0%

SAS +13.9%

CHA -3.3%

CHA -4.0%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHA	NBA	SAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.5	15.1	107.2	104.2	105.2
season	15.0	15.7		109.8	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	13.6	14.0	14.2	14.4
CHA	15.0	17.7	16.0	13.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	52	53	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-11	26	13.4	15.5	-2.10	14.7	16.5	-1.85
Cory Joseph	70	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.41	8	-4	12	14.0	15.3	-1.35	14.8	17.1	-2.26
Nando De Colo	57	57	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-3	10	14.0	14.9	-0.92	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Jeff Ayres	44	43	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-10	24	14.5	14.2	0.25	16.0	15.1	0.84
Matt Bonner	40	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	-3	10	14.1	14.5	-0.36	16.0	15.1	0.89
Boris Diaw	66	67	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	9	-14	14.7	13.7	0.96	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Tim Duncan	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	7	-10	14.1	14.8	-0.69	16.1	14.3	1.76
Shannon Brown	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	0.0	14.5	-14.51	4.5	15.7	-11.22
Danny Green	41	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	12	-20	15.3	13.7	1.57	16.6	14.7	1.91
Tony Parker	50	49	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.01	-14	18	-32	15.8	12.8	3.01	16.2	14.7	1.54

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-5	6	2.0	15.6	-13.63	0.0	14.5	-14.51
Al Jefferson	76	77	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.32	9	-13	22	14.9	17.7	-2.86	14.8	12.5	2.34
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	56	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-4	4	15.9	14.8	1.10	14.5	14.2	0.30
Josh McRoberts	61	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-6	8	15.7	15.2	0.46	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Kemba Walker	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-2	0	15.8	13.8	2.02	14.4	14.2	0.17
Gerald Henderson	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-6	8	15.3	16.1	-0.81	14.6	13.7	0.91
Cody Zeller	35	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	2	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.46	14.7	14.2	0.51
Ramon Sessions	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	5	-14	15.5	15.5	0.04	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Anthony Tolliver	40	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	14.8	15.9	-1.10	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Bismack Biyombo	20	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	9	-22	17.7	14.9	2.86	12.5	14.8	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, GSW 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.07,0,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
NOH 96, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	92.7%
UTA 99, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.7%