NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	6.0 [652]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +24.0%
Houston Rockets	92		Comeback	2.1 [266]		LVP	Kris Humphries (UTA): -18.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.01	15	70%	0.28	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.06	0.05	17	74%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	8	31%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	8	22%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	2	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	8	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	17	56%	0.03	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.06
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	0.06	15	59%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	30.5	15.4	24.8	0.8	29.0	129.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +9.9%

HOU -6.0%

UTA +38.7%

UTA +8.3%

HOU -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	19.4	14.9	15.5	117.9	109.5	104.0
season	16.7	16.0		102.3	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	18.7	21.4	20.6	19.4
HOU	14.8	14.7	16.5	13.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	53	53	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-8	23	19.4	19.5	-0.09	15.2	14.4	0.80
Howard Eisley	48	47	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	-8	23	20.4	18.2	2.21	16.9	12.2	4.72
Raja Bell	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	4	-1	19.9	18.2	1.77	15.0	14.5	0.46
Andrei Kirilenko	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	6	-5	19.9	17.4	2.54	14.4	16.5	-2.02
Matt Harpring	69	68	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	18.5	23.8	-5.32	14.6	15.9	-1.26
Kris Humphries	30	31	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	0	7	20.5	18.8	1.72	16.2	14.1	2.17
Gordan Giricek	8	8	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	2	3	17.1	19.7	-2.55	15.7	14.8	0.99
Curtis Borchardt	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	2	3	18.4	19.6	-1.29	14.0	15.0	-1.03
Keith McLeod	36	37	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.30	-8	15	-23	18.2	20.4	-2.21	12.2	16.9	-4.72
Kirk Snyder	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	8	-9	18.7	19.6	-0.92	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Jarron Collins	18	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	16	-25	20.3	19.2	1.15	14.7	14.9	-0.16

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	25	24	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.13	1	-8	9	16.4	14.2	2.20	18.7	19.7	-1.07
Moochie Norris	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	15.7	14.6	1.06	17.0	20.0	-3.04
Juwan Howard	60	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-6	5	15.1	14.2	0.97	19.8	18.6	1.24
David Wesley	60	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-7	7	15.0	14.5	0.50	19.4	19.6	-0.24
Scott Padgett	15	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-4	1	15.8	14.7	1.15	21.3	19.0	2.33
Tracy McGrady	72	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	15.0	14.1	0.90	19.0	22.4	-3.38
Mike James	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-5	3	14.1	16.5	-2.32	20.1	17.7	2.47
Jon Barry	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	0	-7	14.5	15.2	-0.71	18.6	20.1	-1.54
Ryan Bowen	17	15	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	14.5	15.0	-0.48	20.5	19.2	1.26
Yao Ming	59	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	1	-9	14.2	16.4	-2.20	19.7	18.7	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, DEN 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	93.6%
NYK 77, ATL 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	93.5%
CLE 103, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0	93.2%