NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	5.5 [686]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): +24.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	84		Comeback	2.6 [317]		LVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): -21.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.00	12	77%	0.26	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Danny Ferry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.06	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	61%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Terrell Brandon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.02	0.07	18	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	14	100%	0.06
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.04	18	51%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Phills	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	14	62%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.08
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.21,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	14	53%	-0.06	5	-0.16	15	73%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.5	28.6	16.7	29.2	2.6	28.4	134.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +4.6%

LAL -3.3%

CLE +21.3%

CLE +25.5%

CLE +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	20.5	16.7	15.6	133.8	107.7	104.4
season	17.8	15.3		102.1	105.8
opponent	15.7	16.1		101.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	23.4	19.5	20.7	18.7	20.5
LAL	13.8	18.4	20.5	14.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	48	48	0.75	-0.25	1.00	-0.16	31	-12	43	18.9	23.2	-4.30	16.9	16.4	0.48
Chris Mills	77	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	0	19	20.5	0.0	20.49	16.7	0.0	16.69
Tyrone Hill	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	4	11	20.3	23.0	-2.68	16.4	20.0	-3.58
Terrell Brandon	67	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	7	5	20.4	21.1	-0.70	16.0	22.2	-6.25
Bobby Phills	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.01	14	5	9	20.9	17.7	3.21	17.0	14.5	2.50
Danny Ferry	35	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	16	-13	21.5	19.7	1.82	18.5	15.3	3.20
Reggie Geary	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	18.0	20.5	-2.53	10.0	16.8	-6.78
Vitaly Potapenko	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.09	2	17	-15	25.3	20.1	5.25	19.4	16.4	3.01
Mark West	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	23	-27	21.1	20.4	0.70	13.8	17.3	-3.42

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	38	38	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-23	27	15.6	17.8	-2.22	22.4	18.6	3.81
Travis Knight	56	57	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-26	33	16.9	16.2	0.65	20.6	20.1	0.46
Corie Blount	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.25	-11	-8	-3	12.2	17.6	-5.45	19.2	20.7	-1.47
Derek Fisher	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.26	-13	-6	-7	16.4	16.8	-0.37	20.5	20.5	0.01
Sean Rooks	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-12	5	15.6	16.8	-1.29	23.1	20.2	2.94
Elden Campbell	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-6	-7	16.9	15.6	1.31	20.0	23.0	-2.97
Nick Van Exel	65	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-13	7	16.8	16.4	0.37	20.5	20.5	-0.01
Eddie Jones	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	0	-19	16.2	26.2	-10.07	20.8	13.3	7.45
Jerome Kersey	16	15	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	-5	-9	21.9	15.3	6.60	20.2	20.6	-0.36
Byron Scott	40	39	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.04	-23	4	-27	17.8	15.6	2.22	18.6	22.4	-3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.2%
CHI 115, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0,0.02,0	93.2%
MIL 101, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.06,0,0	92.7%