NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	6.4 [569]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +19.4%
Golden State Warriors	86		Comeback	2.2 [168]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -9.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.07	0.00	9	85%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.05	0.11	-0.02	9	45%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	2	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	-0.06	0.06	20	53%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Avery Bradley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	15	40%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	16	62%	0.19	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	23	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	15	43%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	-0.02	6	75%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.5	28.3	16.7	27.6	2.6	31.4	134.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +20.3%

BOS +12.7%

GSW -0.8%

BOS +17.5%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	14.8	103.1	89.6	107.7
season	14.7	13.5		110.1	114.9
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	16.5	14.9	18.5	15.9
GSW	13.7	14.1	14.5	14.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	52	53	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.09	29	-16	45	16.2	15.5	0.71	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Jonas Jerebko	27	24	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	5	3	17.8	15.2	2.60	12.0	14.8	-2.79
Jaylen Brown	31	30	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	0	13	15.7	16.0	-0.24	13.6	14.3	-0.77
Terry Rozier	28	27	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	15.7	16.0	-0.27	15.0	13.7	1.26
Marcus Smart	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.07	9	4	5	16.1	15.7	0.32	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Isaiah Thomas	68	70	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	10	-7	16.3	15.0	1.23	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Jae Crowder	58	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	12	-11	15.1	17.1	-1.98	14.7	13.1	1.69
Avery Bradley	60	61	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	11	-9	16.1	15.5	0.65	14.3	13.8	0.46
Jordan Mickey	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	17.0	15.9	1.12	9.0	14.1	-5.15
Tyler Zeller	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	17.0	15.9	1.12	9.0	14.1	-5.15
Al Horford	61	62	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	12	-11	15.9	15.9	-0.01	15.0	12.4	2.60
Amir Johnson	42	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	19	-25	14.4	17.1	-2.63	14.6	13.7	0.84

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	40	38	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.05	4	-17	21	14.6	13.7	0.87	15.0	16.5	-1.54
Klay Thompson	67	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-15	17	14.4	13.4	0.97	16.4	14.7	1.72
Kevon Looney	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	15.0	14.1	0.94	17.0	15.9	1.13
JaVale McGee	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-13	13	11.2	14.4	-3.23	16.5	15.8	0.66
Patrick McCaw	64	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-10	7	13.9	14.6	-0.70	16.3	15.1	1.20
Stephen Curry	72	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-10	7	13.7	15.4	-1.76	15.4	17.3	-1.91
Matt Barnes	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-8	3	13.3	14.4	-1.08	16.7	15.6	1.03
Draymond Green	68	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-10	7	14.7	12.7	1.95	15.6	16.8	-1.21
James Michael McAdoo	10	10	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	14.1	14.1	0.01	13.7	16.2	-2.46
Ian Clark	12	12	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.6	13.9	1.70	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Shaun Livingston	29	28	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	2	-17	14.4	13.9	0.51	15.9	15.9	-0.02
David West	23	23	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	0	-13	15.7	13.6	2.11	17.1	15.5	1.55
Andre Iguodala	56	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	2	-17	13.2	15.3	-2.15	16.3	15.3	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.07,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0	92.8%
POR 112, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	92.7%
POR 87, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.2%