NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	7.0 [449]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (CHI): +13.7%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	3.0 [181]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (NYK): -16.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.03	4	100%	0.17	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	14	67%	0.22	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	10	73%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	15	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	3	82%	0.05	3	-0.14	5	60%	-0.05
Andres Nocioni	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	22	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.13	0.01	19	62%	0.00	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	16	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	29.4	16.4	22.5	2.4	38.2	137.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +61.8%

CHI +9.8%

NYK -24.1%

CHI +4.4%

NYK -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.5	106.2	95.9	104.0
season	15.1	15.8		100.1	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		106.5	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	12.3	17.0	12.0	13.9
NYK	14.7	16.5	15.7	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	68	70	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.18	20	-12	32	13.1	16.0	-2.89	15.9	15.4	0.51
Adrian Griffin	64	64	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-10	28	12.9	15.9	-2.94	16.3	14.7	1.65
Tyson Chandler	59	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	13.4	14.7	-1.32	16.6	14.4	2.18
Antonio Davis	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	7	-6	14.4	13.1	1.31	15.1	16.9	-1.84
Jannero Pargo	23	23	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	3	2	11.5	14.7	-3.21	16.0	15.7	0.32
Kirk Hinrich	58	60	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	11	-14	15.1	12.1	3.04	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Othella Harrington	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	9	-10	14.9	13.4	1.47	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Eric Piatkowski	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	10	-12	12.6	14.0	-1.39	15.6	15.8	-0.16
Andres Nocioni	71	74	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	13	-18	14.4	12.6	1.73	15.2	17.5	-2.26
Chris Duhon	38	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	12	-16	15.2	13.1	2.19	16.6	15.2	1.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	74	73	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-10	12	14.8	18.7	-3.86	14.7	11.4	3.32
Jermaine Jackson	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-3	-2	18.1	15.5	2.61	11.3	14.2	-2.92
Trevor Ariza	35	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	15.8	15.7	0.07	11.9	15.0	-3.11
Jerome Williams	77	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-11	14	15.4	17.0	-1.52	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Malik Rose	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	2	-12	15.9	15.7	0.21	15.7	12.6	3.04
Stephon Marbury	83	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	15.4	17.7	-2.34	14.4	11.4	2.98
Jamal Crawford	93	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-4	0	15.7	17.2	-1.52	14.0	12.0	2.00
Michael Sweetney	40	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	16.5	15.2	1.30	13.8	14.0	-0.23
Maurice Taylor	37	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	17.7	14.6	3.09	12.1	15.0	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	92.8%
NYK 79, LAL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.07,0.08,0	92.3%
SAS 104, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0	92.2%