NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	7.1 [423]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): +35.8%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	2.7 [730]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (ORL): -18.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	8	87%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.01	17	65%	0.33	5	-0.17	6	100%	0.05
Iman Shumpert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	52%	0.05	2	-0.10	9	56%	-0.04
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.34	0.05	0.04	22	87%	0.47	3	-0.12	8	87%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Devyn Marble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	8	39%	0.00	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	8	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	28.3	15.4	27.6	2.6	32.5	132.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.2%

CLE +3.8%

CLE +15.0%

ORL -6.5%

CLE +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	14.9	112.4	107.3	105.1
season	15.8	14.6		110.3	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	13.8	16.6	15.6	15.2
ORL	12.1	17.5	14.1	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	55	54	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-8	22	14.7	15.9	-1.20	15.5	13.5	2.03
Channing Frye	42	42	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	14.7	15.7	-1.02	14.6	14.6	0.04
Kyrie Irving	80	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-1	8	15.5	14.0	1.51	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Matthew Dellavedova	42	41	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	0	6	15.0	15.5	-0.52	15.0	14.3	0.67
Richard Jefferson	26	26	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-3	12	14.3	15.6	-1.34	16.2	14.0	2.14
Iman Shumpert	43	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-6	18	14.5	15.8	-1.28	16.1	13.3	2.85
LeBron James	72	71	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	11	-16	15.6	14.3	1.25	14.1	15.9	-1.79
J.R. Smith	49	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	15.8	14.7	1.07	13.5	15.6	-2.08
Kevin Love	47	48	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	11	-16	15.6	14.9	0.76	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Timofey Mozgov	29	29	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.05	-14	20	-34	16.4	14.8	1.61	12.5	15.5	-3.02

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	39	38	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-11	16	13.7	15.2	-1.48	15.8	14.9	0.89
Evan Fournier	69	71	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-11	16	14.5	14.9	-0.36	16.4	12.1	4.28
Aaron Gordon	62	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-11	16	13.9	15.9	-2.00	16.2	13.4	2.75
Brandon Jennings	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-10	14	14.0	15.8	-1.84	15.7	14.2	1.55
Victor Oladipo	79	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-5	4	14.2	16.2	-1.99	15.2	15.2	0.01
CJ Watson	31	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	4	-14	15.8	14.0	1.84	14.2	15.7	-1.55
Mario Hezonja	33	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	4	-14	15.7	14.0	1.68	13.8	16.0	-2.19
Ersan Ilyasova	40	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	4	-14	15.7	13.8	1.90	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Devyn Marble	12	12	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	2	-10	15.4	14.5	0.94	11.5	15.8	-4.28
Jason Smith	50	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	4	-14	15.0	14.1	0.93	14.7	15.8	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0	91.9%
CLE 79, DET 68	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	91.1%
POR 112, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0	90.9%