NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	7.1 [436]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +22.8%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	2.9 [480]		LVP	Will Barton (DEN): -15.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	8	82%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	53%	0.10	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
CJ McCollum	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	17	64%	0.16	5	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.07	0.02	14	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Maurice Harkless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	36%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Frazier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	5	54%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.07	0.03	13	69%	0.23	0	0.00	16	69%	-0.04
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.06	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	52%	0.02	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.07
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	14	39%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	20%	-0.07
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	10	25%	-0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	32.2	15.8	30.8	1.8	37.3	146.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.1%

POR +1.6%

DEN -6.9%

DEN -2.3%

POR +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	14.9	117.9	112.8	105.1
season	15.0	14.9		107.1	104.3
opponent	14.9	14.6		107.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	16.7	18.4	14.6	16.3
DEN	15.3	13.3	15.9	12.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	54	53	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-3	12	16.2	16.4	-0.24	13.2	15.4	-2.27
Allen Crabbe	62	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-1	8	15.9	17.1	-1.16	14.3	13.8	0.58
Gerald Henderson	53	51	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-5	16	15.4	17.5	-2.06	13.4	15.0	-1.63
Noah Vonleh	49	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	6	-6	16.3	16.3	0.04	15.0	13.2	1.79
Tim Frazier	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	6	-6	15.6	16.7	-1.07	13.5	14.5	-1.05
CJ McCollum	63	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	0	6	16.7	15.6	1.07	14.5	13.5	1.05
Meyers Leonard	47	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	-1	8	16.1	16.5	-0.39	13.2	15.0	-1.79
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.21	-5	11	-16	16.5	16.1	0.41	15.1	13.4	1.65
Mason Plumlee	40	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	10	-14	16.6	16.1	0.60	15.4	13.2	2.27
Maurice Harkless	34	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	7	-8	18.2	15.3	2.91	13.8	14.4	-0.57

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	27	26	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.11	7	-13	20	13.9	14.3	-0.33	18.7	15.4	3.34
Gary Harris	54	55	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.13	9	-15	24	13.9	14.5	-0.64	16.3	16.3	-0.08
Jameer Nelson	64	64	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.17	8	-14	22	14.3	13.9	0.33	16.4	16.2	0.17
Danilo Gallinari	71	71	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-9	12	14.0	14.7	-0.71	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Kenneth Faried	53	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-11	16	14.3	14.0	0.37	16.4	16.1	0.32
Nikola Jokic	41	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-6	6	15.1	13.4	1.71	16.5	16.1	0.45
Joffrey Lauvergne	12	11	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	3	-12	15.0	14.0	0.96	14.5	16.5	-2.09
Kostas Papanikolaou	23	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	3	-12	14.7	14.0	0.71	16.9	16.1	0.76
Darrell Arthur	39	39	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	7	-20	14.3	14.0	0.30	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Randy Foye	34	34	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	8	-22	14.1	14.2	-0.16	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Will Barton	52	53	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.29	-17	11	-28	13.2	15.3	-2.04	15.4	17.5	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.5,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	92.8%
GSW 86, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.4%
LAC 108, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.2%