NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	6.6 [466]		MVP	Shannon Brown (LAL): +18.0%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.9 [981]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -15.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	4	112%	0.22	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08	0.05	0.06	0.04	26	63%	0.26	8	-0.18	15	73%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	20	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	22	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.05	16	31%	-0.12	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	27.7	15.6	30.2	1.7	30.2	132.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +52.0%

LAL +18.3%

CHI -21.0%

CHI -2.6%

LAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.3	98.0	93.5	106.0
season	15.7	14.7		107.9	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	12.8	15.6	14.0	14.4
CHI	13.5	18.5	14.4	16.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	38	38	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.23	13	-4	17	13.2	15.2	-1.97	18.1	14.1	3.99
Metta World Peace	94	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-3	15	14.4	14.5	-0.09	15.6	18.5	-2.91
Andrew Bynum	55	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-1	11	14.2	14.7	-0.54	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Jordan Farmar	30	30	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-4	17	13.6	14.8	-1.18	18.0	14.7	3.24
Lamar Odom	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	1	7	14.4	14.4	0.06	17.2	13.3	3.96
Pau Gasol	82	77	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	9	-9	14.6	13.7	0.87	15.2	18.6	-3.44
Kobe Bryant	80	76	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.13	-3	12	-15	14.7	13.3	1.33	15.2	18.1	-2.87
Derek Fisher	52	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	17	-25	15.4	13.3	2.10	13.7	18.0	-4.27

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	72	75	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-13	17	15.6	16.5	-0.97	14.5	14.3	0.21
Derrick Rose	65	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-17	25	14.8	18.1	-3.29	14.9	13.3	1.62
Jannero Pargo	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-2	-5	17.6	15.4	2.20	12.9	14.7	-1.74
Luol Deng	74	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-11	13	15.1	18.4	-3.33	14.9	12.5	2.41
James Johnson	10	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-3	-3	18.1	15.5	2.61	11.9	14.7	-2.83
Brad Miller	72	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	15.0	18.4	-3.37	14.0	16.0	-2.01
John Salmons	53	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	0	-9	16.8	14.4	2.46	14.3	14.6	-0.26
Kirk Hinrich	63	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	6	-21	15.9	15.5	0.45	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Taj Gibson	42	44	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	6	-21	17.5	14.4	3.06	15.1	13.9	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%
IND 102, DEN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
PHI 92, SAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.31,0.43,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%