NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	6.2 [534]		MVP	Jason Smith (PHI): +13.5%
Sacramento Kings	80		Comeback	1.8 [340]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -25.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	4	112%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	10	73%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	12	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	19	45%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.07
Rodney Carney	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	6	67%	0.11	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	11	86%	0.14	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	40%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	19	51%	0.10	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.04
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.10	-0.02	15	27%	-0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.3	15.4	26.7	1.7	30.6	129.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.2%

SAC -7.1%

SAC -1.1%

PHI +27.0%

SAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.4	104.5	89.9	105.7
season	15.2	14.9		104.0	105.6
opponent	15.0	16.2		108.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	20.3	17.1	13.5	16.4
SAC	18.2	14.7	16.4	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	30	31	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.09	23	-11	34	13.4	18.0	-4.55	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Kyle Korver	56	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-4	20	16.0	17.2	-1.19	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Jason Smith	24	23	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.02	16	-4	20	15.1	16.9	-1.85	16.7	15.9	0.79
Lou Williams	40	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	3	6	14.5	18.0	-3.45	14.7	17.3	-2.60
Samuel Dalembert	70	72	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	10	-8	16.7	15.3	1.38	16.2	15.9	0.21
Andre Iguodala	72	73	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	14	-16	16.9	14.4	2.44	16.3	15.4	0.82
Andre Miller	70	70	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	14	-16	17.1	13.8	3.34	16.3	15.5	0.81
Rodney Carney	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	11	-10	17.3	16.0	1.27	16.9	15.7	1.14
Reggie Evans	48	47	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	15	-18	18.5	14.0	4.46	16.5	15.6	0.89

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	72	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-10	8	16.3	15.5	0.79	16.8	15.1	1.76
Mikki Moore	64	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-11	10	16.5	15.1	1.44	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Dahntay Jones	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-8	4	14.9	16.4	-1.48	14.6	16.9	-2.36
Francisco Garcia	78	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-9	6	15.9	17.7	-1.84	16.5	16.0	0.51
Quincy Douby	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	13.6	17.2	-3.60	16.9	16.2	0.73
Kenny Thomas	17	18	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	15.5	16.3	-0.79	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Spencer Hawes	19	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	16.5	16.0	0.46	15.2	16.8	-1.59
Beno Udrih	70	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-3	-6	16.5	14.6	1.88	16.5	16.3	0.17
John Salmons	78	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	3	-18	16.7	11.7	5.00	16.9	12.5	4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.31,0.43,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.04,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
LAL 96, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.3%
LAC 114, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.0%