NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	114		Excitement	6.9 [469]		MVP	Maurice Harkless (POR): +22.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.7 [728]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -18.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.01	22	51%	0.24	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.05
Chris Paul	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	19	60%	0.12	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	60%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	12	47%	-0.03	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	7	25%	-0.13	1	-0.02	10	20%	-0.17

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.05	0.01	15	72%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	6	7%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.12	0.08	24	53%	-0.06	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.7	38.8	17.6	27.6	3.3	49.5	166.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +1.7%

LAC +12.3%

LAC +12.5%

LAC +23.8%

POR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	13.0	14.8	112.9	103.9	107.7
season	15.0	14.9		110.8	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.4	15.0	15.8	13.7	15.4
POR	13.3	15.0	12.4	11.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	59	58	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-10	28	13.3	18.3	-4.92	12.9	13.2	-0.28
Raymond Felton	36	35	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-9	26	13.9	16.2	-2.24	13.2	12.9	0.30
Marreese Speights	35	35	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-12	32	14.2	16.0	-1.82	13.7	12.6	1.13
Wesley Johnson	24	25	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-10	28	13.1	16.1	-3.02	14.9	12.4	2.54
Austin Rivers	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	13.7	17.7	-3.94	11.9	14.5	-2.63
JJ Redick	60	63	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	15	-22	16.2	14.1	2.13	13.0	13.1	-0.12
Chris Paul	70	70	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	12	-16	16.2	13.5	2.70	12.7	13.7	-1.09
Blake Griffin	77	77	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	18	-28	16.1	13.1	3.02	12.4	14.9	-2.54
DeAndre Jordan	54	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	16	-24	16.8	13.7	3.11	13.9	11.9	1.97
Luc Mbah a Moute	31	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	16	-24	19.4	13.6	5.73	13.5	12.8	0.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	76	76	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.30	13	-21	34	12.7	13.7	-0.98	15.8	14.2	1.58
Maurice Harkless	67	69	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.24	9	-17	26	12.6	13.9	-1.30	16.1	13.9	2.21
Mason Plumlee	61	59	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-13	18	13.7	12.0	1.75	16.8	13.3	3.51
Shabazz Napier	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-7	6	6.0	13.4	-7.36	4.8	15.9	-11.14
Al-Farouq Aminu	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-10	12	13.0	13.0	0.04	16.5	14.3	2.23
Evan Turner	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	3	-14	14.1	12.0	2.12	14.4	16.2	-1.84
Noah Vonleh	23	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	4	-16	13.4	12.9	0.56	12.6	16.2	-3.57
Allen Crabbe	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	12.5	14.1	-1.61	14.5	17.2	-2.67
Ed Davis	27	28	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.03	-20	12	-32	14.0	12.6	1.41	13.8	16.0	-2.21
CJ McCollum	81	80	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.23	-18	10	-28	12.8	13.8	-0.96	15.9	13.3	2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, SAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.31,0.43,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
SAS 111, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.8%
TOR 116, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	92.6%